WEEK 10 -- "Don't give me that tone!!"

[Buckeye Dale]

Duke +8 at UNC: Duke

Iowa -8 at Indiana: Iowa

Utah PK at Washington: Utah

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: OK State
FSU +12 at Clemson: FSU

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: Navy

LSU +7 at Alabama: LSU

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: Pitt

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska: Mich St

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: Houston

Stanford -16 at Colorado: Stan

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: Arkie

[roxalot]

Duke +8 at UNC: UNC

Iowa -8 at Indiana: Iowa

Utah PK at Washington: Utah

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: TCU

FSU +12 at Clemson: FSU

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: Memphis

LSU +7 at Alabama: LSU

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: ND

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska: MSU

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: Cincinnati

Stanford -16 at Colorado: Stanford

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: Arky

[mscott59]

Nov 5, 2015 12:29:38 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Duke +8 at UNC:1st place in the acc coastal on the line in this 103rd meeting between these two schools who are just 10 miles apart. victory bell also at stake. if there is one team out there below the radar who would give the 'big' boys lots of trouble, imho it's the heels. their offense is humming and their d, which last year gave up 39/game, has allowed just 1 team to score over 19 this season. since throwing away the opener vs usc-e, unc has won all its games and covered all its lined games. impressive. duke enters this game w/revenge from a 45-20 beating in durham in '14, and ticked about how the miami game ended last week. blue devils are 8-2 ats as road dog, unc 11-6-1 as home chalk lately. interesting stat i found; conference away dogs +6+ who are off a home loss as -7+ (duke was -11 vs miami) are 52-24-1 ats since '80. duke (nerd cfb stat alert; if the refs had called the final play right last week, these two would be meeting, both ranked, for the 1st time since '39)

Iowa -8 at Indiana: so why are the vegas linemakers giving the unbeaten hawkeyes such little love? only a td vs an iu d who's given up 107 pts the last 2 weeks to rutgers/sparty? hoosiers started 4-0 ooc and promptly lost 4 straight big 10 games, and has failed to cover in the last 3 after giving osu a scare. maybe its because rb howard and qb sudfield are fully healthy off a bye week? can't be iu's defense which is allowing about 200/game rushing to big 10 teams. iu is 7-5-1 getting points at home, and 10-1 ats off a 10+ loss vs teams off a win. iowa is solid rushing the ball, very solid on d, and a solid 6-1 ats as rf's the last 2+ yrs. but they're 6-12 ats giving 6+ on the road. and the healthier hoosiers have the best offense iowa has faced so far this year. plus 8-0+ teams as -3+ road faves, facing a .500/better league foe w/revenge and rest, are just 1-11 ats since 2000. indiana

Utah PK at Washington: the media darling utes looked underwhelming beating oregon st, a week after being overwhelmed by usc, a team uw beat 17-12. the next week, the huskies lost to oregon 26-20, a team utah pounded 62-20. yeah, you can figure out a lot w/comparative scores. lol. utah is 0-8 su all time in this series, and have never scored over 15 pts in any of those games. and why is this game even, when utah is 7-1 and uw is just 4-4? tough call here, but i'll lean with washington.

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: lots of cfb fans know tcu is unbeaten. a lot don't realize okla st is unblemished too. frogs are just 6-15 ats as road chalk since '11, and they haven't won in stillwater since '91. can the cowboys' 2 headed qb system (rudolph is the passer, walsh is the runner) beat boykin, tcu's star qb who has his team 2nd in the fbs in total offense? osu-c is just 1-3 ats getting points at home lately. but there are some serious trends going against those guys in purple; tcu is 1-14 ats as road favorites in games where they allow 20+ pts. does anyone think the cowboys won't put up 3 td's in this game? teams who are 4-0+ off 24+ wins as -10+ on the road vs an unbeaten opponent are 9-36 ats since '80. toss in revenge for the 42-9 drubbing last year? oklahoma st.

FSU +12 at Clemson: just realized i'm leaning a lot toward the underdog this week, and this one is tempting too in a game that will likely decide the acc atlantic, as well as cfb playoff implications. tigers have rolled thru just about everybody this year, but now the #1 target is on their striped back. watson has been great at qb for cu; they've put up 114 pts the last 2 games. despite giving up 41 to nc state last week, their d has been dominant too. for fsu, will it be golston or maguire at qb? cook or patrick at rb? nice to have those options. clemson is an impressive 16-8-1 ats as home faves, but in 23 games vs the noles, cu has only won 6, and only been favored twice, never by double digits. fsu has not been a regular season dog, anywhere, since '11. the last 10 times fisher as a head coach has played an unbeaten opponent, he's won. and the tigers have been vulnerable to good teams who pass well. i'll take the points. florida state.

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: nice seeing the middies on the list this week. great to see the success memphis has achieved to date. lynch is the real deal at qb, and will lead a passing offense navy hasn't seen this year. that said, keenan reynolds will lead an option attach memphis hasn't seen this year either. tigers have struggled some of the gate in games, being behind by 10+ in 4 of 8 games. they're just 2-7 ats as home faves. navy is 13-7 ats getting points on the road. plus memphis has houston and temple on deck, both on the road. i think navy burns clock, shortens the game, and scares memphis. navy.

LSU +7 at Alabama: it's been since '10 that lsu knocked off alabama. that also was the last time the tigers scored more than 17 points vs the tide. matter of fact, when lsu scores 24+ in this game, they are 11-1-1 su. thought that was interesting... can lsu score 24/more? both these teams are efficient on offense, with strong o-lines and outstanding rb's. the tide has an edge on defense but both teams are good vs the run (tide allows 79/game, tigers 96), not that good vs the pass, near the bottom of the sec in terms of stats. to me, that puts the pivot point of this one squarely in the hands of the two qb's. who is more effective, and less mistake prone. fournette vs henry is the headline, but coker vs harris determines the outcome. alabama is 0-5 ats at home this year. lsu is 0-3-1 ats the last couple years as road dogs. that's not much help. i'll roll the dice on harris. lsu.

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: i thought pitt would put up a better fight on defense vs unc last week. now a more talented irish team comes to town. uh oh. despite having to come from behind at temple, nd outgained the owls by nearly 200 yds. pitt is 4-1-1 ats in this series, and narduzzi did a nice job slowing down kelly's offense when he was def coord at michigan st. plus nd is just 2-7 ats as road chalk while the panthers are 6-3 ats as home dogs. but i'm going with the eye test here. notre dame.

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska: a key game in the al1 campaign to devalue osu's cfb playoff chances. lol. unl enters this game at 3-6, and off a loss at purdue. ugh. sparty is off a bye, off a 24-0 4th qtr in their 52-26 win at indiana. dantonio is hoping the off week helped his team heal up, with significant injuries on the o-line and defense. msu entered the season 10-2 ats as road chalk but are 0-2 this year. huskers have only been a home dog once since joining the big 10. they've out-statted their last 3 opponents despite losing 2 of those games. unl is also 5-2 ats w/revenge, and 6-1 ats vs sparty. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 5-0+ road favorites off a bye playing a team w/revenge are just 10-28 ats since '80. al1 may get his wish. nebraska.

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: interesting matchup here. houston has memphis on the horizon. they have to face a uc offense that's nearly as prolific as uh's is. especially when gunner kiel is upright. bearcats have played the much tougher schedule. upset alert. cincinnati.

Stanford -16 at Colorado: stanford got a little lucky w/the missed fg by wash st last week. cu is really unlucky having to play ucla, stanford and then usc back to back. 10th straight week w/o a bye for the buffalos. cardinal have covered 6 straight road games. stanford.

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: hogs beat the rebs 30-0 last year. payback. mississippi.

I thought duke would hang around w unc. Instead marquis Williams has hung 404 yds passing in 30 min. 38-10 at half. Heels look imposing even if it is just the dukies.

[Deleted]

Nov 5, 2015 10:47:08 GMT -5 lz2112 said:

Iowa -8 at Indiana: Iowa

Utah PK at Washington: Utah

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: TCU

FSU +12 at Clemson:FSU

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: Navy

LSU +7 at Alabama: LSU

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: Pitt

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska:Michigan State

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: Houstan

Stanford -16 at Colorado:Stanford

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: Arkansas

LZ! You didn't make a pick on the Duke/UNC game?

[Buckeye Dale]

Nov 7, 2015 15:33:31 GMT -5 @kelliers said:

Nov 5, 2015 10:47:08 GMT -5 lz2112 said:

Iowa -8 at Indiana: Iowa

Utah PK at Washington: Utah

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: TCU

FSU +12 at Clemson:FSU

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: Navy

LSU +7 at Alabama: LSU

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: Pitt

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska:Michigan State

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: Houstan

Stanford -16 at Colorado:Stanford

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: Arkansas

LZ! You didn't make a pick on the Duke/UNC game?

(Psst...PSST...LZ  ... hot tip...Take UNC)

[Buckeye Dale]

Sooooo....Iowa 35-8 @ Indiana 27 is a loss for everyone?

[oujour76]

Nov 7, 2015 23:52:06 GMT -5 Buckeye Dale said:

Sooooo....Iowa 35-8 @ Indiana 27 is a loss for everyone?

No...a push.

[Deleted]

6-5-1 for +1. When Trn gets around to updating when he gets sober after FSU's loss, I'm up to -4 from -20 when I got back in the game in week 4 after going -24 for missing weeks 2 and 3. I really felt good about the picks this week, but they just didn't turn out as well as I thought they would.

[Buckeye Dale]

Nov 8, 2015 0:05:10 GMT -5 oujour76 said:

Nov 7, 2015 23:52:06 GMT -5 Buckeye Dale said:

Sooooo....Iowa 35-8 @ Indiana 27 is a loss for everyone?

No...a push.

I've heard the term, but have no idea what that means.

[Deleted]

Nov 8, 2015 0:44:49 GMT -5 Buckeye Dale said:

Nov 8, 2015 0:05:10 GMT -5 oujour76 said:

No...a push.

I've heard the term, but have no idea what that means.

It's neither a win nor a loss. Just net out your wins with your losses for the week.

[oujour76]

Nov 8, 2015 0:44:49 GMT -5 Buckeye Dale said:

Nov 8, 2015 0:05:10 GMT -5 oujour76 said:

No...a push.

I've heard the term, but have no idea what that means.

A tie. If you're betting in Vegas you would get your full bet returned. For our contest, I assume Trn won't count the game at all in the standings.

[trnyerheadncough]

Nov 8, 2015 0:38:29 GMT -5 ETGator1 said:

6-5-1 for +1. When Trn gets around to updating when he gets sober after FSU's loss, I'm up to -4 from -20 when I got back in the game in week 4 after going -24 for missing weeks 2 and 3. I really felt good about the picks this week, but they just didn't turn out as well as I thought they would.

I just bought a house, so I haven't had time to update much.

Don't feel too bad about the FSU loss. I thought we'd probably lose, but I wanted us to be competitive, and we were. We are a quarterback away from being a very very good football team this year. We can still go 10-2 if we can find enough offense to beat UF. I'm ok with that.

We have everyone back next year, except for Ramsey and Smith on defense, and Golson at QB.

[Deleted]

5-6-1
What a messed up week.

[mscott59]

Nov 5, 2015 12:29:38 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Duke +8 at UNC:1st place in the acc coastal on the line in this 103rd meeting between these two schools who are just 10 miles apart. victory bell also at stake. if there is one team out there below the radar who would give the 'big' boys lots of trouble, imho it's the heels. their offense is humming and their d, which last year gave up 39/game, has allowed just 1 team to score over 19 this season. since throwing away the opener vs usc-e, unc has won all its games and covered all its lined games. impressive. duke enters this game w/revenge from a 45-20 beating in durham in '14, and ticked about how the miami game ended last week. blue devils are 8-2 ats as road dog, unc 11-6-1 as home chalk lately. interesting stat i found; conference away dogs +6+ who are off a home loss as -7+ (duke was -11 vs miami) are 52-24-1 ats since '80. duke (nerd cfb stat alert; if the refs had called the final play right last week, these two would be meeting, both ranked, for the 1st time since '39)

Iowa -8 at Indiana: so why are the vegas linemakers giving the unbeaten hawkeyes such little love? only a td vs an iu d who's given up 107 pts the last 2 weeks to rutgers/sparty? hoosiers started 4-0 ooc and promptly lost 4 straight big 10 games, and has failed to cover in the last 3 after giving osu a scare. maybe its because rb howard and qb sudfield are fully healthy off a bye week? can't be iu's defense which is allowing about 200/game rushing to big 10 teams. iu is 7-5-1 getting points at home, and 10-1 ats off a 10+ loss vs teams off a win. iowa is solid rushing the ball, very solid on d, and a solid 6-1 ats as rf's the last 2+ yrs. but they're 6-12 ats giving 6+ on the road. and the healthier hoosiers have the best offense iowa has faced so far this year. plus 8-0+ teams as -3+ road faves, facing a .500/better league foe w/revenge and rest, are just 1-11 ats since 2000. indiana

Utah PK at Washington: the media darling utes looked underwhelming beating oregon st, a week after being overwhelmed by usc, a team uw beat 17-12. the next week, the huskies lost to oregon 26-20, a team utah pounded 62-20. yeah, you can figure out a lot w/comparative scores. lol. utah is 0-8 su all time in this series, and have never scored over 15 pts in any of those games. and why is this game even, when utah is 7-1 and uw is just 4-4? tough call here, but i'll lean with washington.

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: lots of cfb fans know tcu is unbeaten. a lot don't realize okla st is unblemished too. frogs are just 6-15 ats as road chalk since '11, and they haven't won in stillwater since '91. can the cowboys' 2 headed qb system (rudolph is the passer, walsh is the runner) beat boykin, tcu's star qb who has his team 2nd in the fbs in total offense? osu-c is just 1-3 ats getting points at home lately. but there are some serious trends going against those guys in purple; tcu is 1-14 ats as road favorites in games where they allow 20+ pts. does anyone think the cowboys won't put up 3 td's in this game? teams who are 4-0+ off 24+ wins as -10+ on the road vs an unbeaten opponent are 9-36 ats since '80. toss in revenge for the 42-9 drubbing last year? oklahoma st.

FSU +12 at Clemson: just realized i'm leaning a lot toward the underdog this week, and this one is tempting too in a game that will likely decide the acc atlantic, as well as cfb playoff implications. tigers have rolled thru just about everybody this year, but now the #1 target is on their striped back. watson has been great at qb for cu; they've put up 114 pts the last 2 games. despite giving up 41 to nc state last week, their d has been dominant too. for fsu, will it be golston or maguire at qb? cook or patrick at rb? nice to have those options. clemson is an impressive 16-8-1 ats as home faves, but in 23 games vs the noles, cu has only won 6, and only been favored twice, never by double digits. fsu has not been a regular season dog, anywhere, since '11. the last 10 times fisher as a head coach has played an unbeaten opponent, he's won. and the tigers have been vulnerable to good teams who pass well. i'll take the points. florida state.

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: nice seeing the middies on the list this week. great to see the success memphis has achieved to date. lynch is the real deal at qb, and will lead a passing offense navy hasn't seen this year. that said, keenan reynolds will lead an option attach memphis hasn't seen this year either. tigers have struggled some of the gate in games, being behind by 10+ in 4 of 8 games. they're just 2-7 ats as home faves. navy is 13-7 ats getting points on the road. plus memphis has houston and temple on deck, both on the road. i think navy burns clock, shortens the game, and scares memphis. navy.

LSU +7 at Alabama: it's been since '10 that lsu knocked off alabama. that also was the last time the tigers scored more than 17 points vs the tide. matter of fact, when lsu scores 24+ in this game, they are 11-1-1 su. thought that was interesting... can lsu score 24/more? both these teams are efficient on offense, with strong o-lines and outstanding rb's. the tide has an edge on defense but both teams are good vs the run (tide allows 79/game, tigers 96), not that good vs the pass, near the bottom of the sec in terms of stats. to me, that puts the pivot point of this one squarely in the hands of the two qb's. who is more effective, and less mistake prone. fournette vs henry is the headline, but coker vs harris determines the outcome. alabama is 0-5 ats at home this year. lsu is 0-3-1 ats the last couple years as road dogs. that's not much help. i'll roll the dice on harris. lsu.

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: i thought pitt would put up a better fight on defense vs unc last week. now a more talented irish team comes to town. uh oh. despite having to come from behind at temple, nd outgained the owls by nearly 200 yds. pitt is 4-1-1 ats in this series, and narduzzi did a nice job slowing down kelly's offense when he was def coord at michigan st. plus nd is just 2-7 ats as road chalk while the panthers are 6-3 ats as home dogs. but i'm going with the eye test here. notre dame.

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska: a key game in the al1 campaign to devalue osu's cfb playoff chances. lol. unl enters this game at 3-6, and off a loss at purdue. ugh. sparty is off a bye, off a 24-0 4th qtr in their 52-26 win at indiana. dantonio is hoping the off week helped his team heal up, with significant injuries on the o-line and defense. msu entered the season 10-2 ats as road chalk but are 0-2 this year. huskers have only been a home dog once since joining the big 10. they've out-statted their last 3 opponents despite losing 2 of those games. unl is also 5-2 ats w/revenge, and 6-1 ats vs sparty. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 5-0+ road favorites off a bye playing a team w/revenge are just 10-28 ats since '80. al1 may get his wish. nebraska.

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: interesting matchup here. houston has memphis on the horizon. they have to face a uc offense that's nearly as prolific as uh's is. especially when gunner kiel is upright. bearcats have played the much tougher schedule. upset alert. cincinnati.

Stanford -16 at Colorado: stanford got a little lucky w/the missed fg by wash st last week. cu is really unlucky having to play ucla, stanford and then usc back to back. 10th straight week w/o a bye for the buffalos. cardinal have covered 6 straight road games. stanford.

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: hogs beat the rebs 30-0 last year. payback. mississippi.

7-4-1

[Walter]

Nov 6, 2015 21:04:11 GMT -5 Walter said:

Duke +8 at UNC: UNC

Iowa -8 at Indiana: IOWA

Utah PK at Washington: Utah

TCU -5 at Oklahoma State: TCU

FSU +12 at Clemson: FSU

Navy +8 ½ at Memphis: MEMPHIS

LSU +7 at Alabama: LSU

Notre Dame -8 at Pitt: Pitt

Michigan State -6 at Nebraska: MSU

Cincinnati +8 at Houston: HOUSTON

Stanford -16 at Colorado: Colorado

Arkansas +10 ½ at Mississippi: Ole Miss