WEEK 3

[AlaCowboy]

UCF

Mich State

Va Tech

Oklahoma SEC! SEC! SEC!

Cincy

Colorado

Notre Dame

Bama

NW

Missy State

SDSU

Penn State

Va

BSU

BYU

Fresno St

[CWGBuckeyes]

Sept 14, 2021 12:29:53 GMT -5 CWGBuckeyes said:

UCF

Miami FL

Virginia Tech

Oklahoma

Cincinnati

Colorado

Notre Dame

Alabama

Duke

Memphis

San Diego St

Penn St

UNC

Boise St

Arizona St

UCLA

I changed my Nebraska pick to Oklahoma

[mscott59]

seth macfarlane doesn't get the credit/pub he deserves for the combo of comic & musical chops he has. underrated funny flick.

1. (2-0) CENTRAL FLORIDA
AT (1-1) LOUISVILLE +7 (OPEN +8) loss. a 65 yd pick 6 w/0:30 left??? lol
I thought scott satterfield would have more success w/the cards than he has. l'ville is 0-7 ats of late as dogs of 10/less, while ucf is 6-1 ats as aac road chalk the last 7 games. plus they absolutely obliterated boise state in their opener. central florida.

2. (2-0) MICHIGAN STATE
AT (1-1) #24 MIAMI (FLA) -6.5 (OPEN -8) loss. 4 canes turnovers
sparty has impressed out of the gate, but they're just 4-11 ats off a su win lately. despite getting blown out by alabama and sneaking by appy st., the canes have actually looked very good vs the run. plus they are 12-0 su/8-3-1 ats at home in ooc games vs fbs opponents. university of miami.

3. (2-0) #15 VIRGINIA TECH
AT (2-0) WEST VIRGINIA -3 (OPEN -3). win
hokies have looked better so far, especially w/the 17-10 unc win 2 weeks ago, and they've only allowed 24 pts so far this year (yeah, this buckeye fan is envious-lol). va tech also holds a 14-5-1 ats edge in this series, though they haven't played much since vt joined the acc. 'eers are 5-0 su/ats vs the last 5 ooc opponents at home. I think their offense will be the difference here. west virginia.

4. (1-1) NEBRASKA
AT (2-0) #3 OKLAHOMA -22.5 (OPEN -23)loss. guess I should've figured sooners wouldn't score 27 today
sad to see the huskers in this game that meant so much during the big 8 days moons ago. sooners have scored 27+ pts in 65 straight games. unl is, since 1980, 34-107-5 ats in games where they allow 27+. ouch. there are reports that nebraska tried to get out of this game. I'm guessing after it's over they'll wish they just didn't show up. oklahoma.

5. (2-0) #8 CINCINNATI
AT (1-1) INDIANA +3.5 (OPEN +3)loss. this one surprised me.
imho the wrong team is favored here. iu got buried 34-6 in their opener vs iowa but that was mostly due to 3 1st half picks, 2 of them run back for td's. bearcats do have a bye next week before the 2nd huge game for their cfb playoff hopes at south bend. that said, they're 0-5 su the last 5 on the road vs big 10 teams when they have a winning record, just 3-6 ats the last 9 as road chalk, while iu is 9-1 ats the last 10 games off a win. indiana.

6. (1-1) MINNESOTA
AT (1-1) COLORADO -2 (OPEN +3)win
buffs held their own in a tough loss to texas a&m last week, while the gophers were in a hangover after a tough loss to tosu, barely hanging on to beat miami u. even w/o ibrahim though, I think minnesota catches cu in a good hangover spot. plus the 5 point swing in this line is way too much. minnesota.

7. (2-0) PURDUE
AT (2-0) #12 NOTRE DAME -7 (OPEN -8)win
could the boilers actually draw inspiration from the fact that the arrogant irish won't let their band bring their giant base drum into the stadium saturday? (it only fits thru what's now the nd-only tunnel onto the field). meh. irish is just 1-5 ats as home chalk now after sweating out a win over toledo. purdue is 8-1 ats lately getting 7+, but they haven't faced a secondary this good. the betting trends lean toward pu, but imho the talent leans the other way. notre dame.

8. #1 (2-0) ALABAMA
AT #13 (2-0) FLORIDA +15.5 (OPEN +15)win. rushing yds... uf had 245, alabama 91
here's an amazing cfb stat; during his time in tuscaloosa, nick saban is 8-18 ats as chalk of 14+ when his team's average rushing stats are less than his opponent's. so, can uf control the clock and the los, keeping the tide's potent passing offense off the field, and forcing a first year starting qb to have to play into the 4th qtr? they did it last year vs a stronger alabama team. there's no doubt which team has more talent. but I think this stays interesting late. florida.

9. (1-1) NORTHWESTERN
AT (1-1) DUKE +3 (OPEN +2)win
n'western hasn't looked good opening the season w/lots of new faces. blue devils are 18-6 ats the last 24 vs ooc opponents. duke.

10. (2-0) MISSISSIPPI STATE
AT (2-0) MEMPHIS +3.5 (OPEN +3)win
bulldogs have lsu up next... I think they may be looking ahead. plus the tigers offense has been real good to open the season. cfb nerd stat #2: since '91, game 3 home dogs who put up 40+ points in their 1st 2 games are 13-2 ats. memphis.

11. (1-1) UTAH
AT (2-0) SAN DIEGO STATE +7 (OPEN +7)loss
aztecs have wins over 2 cupcakes (n mx st, 'zona) and the utes come in hot off a loss to arch rival byu, plus they are 6-1 ats off a -8/less favorite su loss. utah.

12. #22 (2-0) AUBURN
AT #10 (2-0) PENN STATE -6 (OPEN -7)win. big 10 may have 14 members, but I thought sec officials could count to 4 instead of forcing a psu punt on 3rd down. lol
torn here. sec teams as ooc dogs are $$, but auburn qb bo nix has been dr. jekyll at home (12-2 record, 20 tds vs 1 pick), mr hyde on the road (5-7 record, 12 td's, 12 int) in his career. unsettling numbers vs a psu d that looks pretty solid. war eagle is also just 8-17 ats in away games, while the nitts are 31-10-1 ats off a win. penn state.

13. (2-0) VIRGINIA
AT #21 (1-1) NORTH CAROLINA -9 (OPEN -10)win
uva has won/covered 4 straight in the series, but last year it came despite being outgained by 130 yds. unc is 6-1 ats as home chalk. North Carolina.

14. (2-0) OKLAHOMA STATE
AT (1-1) BOISE STATE -4.5 (OPEN -4)loss. and it shouldn't have been. late in 4th bsu ran a fumble back for a td that refs inexcusably blew dead. replay corrected possession but took away the 6.
broncos are 8-2 ats as home chalk, the cowboys have been a little sluggish on offense and also have some injuries. boise state.

15. #19 (2-0) ARIZONA STATE
AT #23 (2-0) BYU +3.5 (OPEN +2)win
this one is a toss up to me. asu has easy wins over 2 nobodies. cougars are still celebrating finally beating utah last week. byu is 9-0 as dogs off a su win, and I think their defense carries the day despite a poor record vs pac 12 foes. brigham young.

16. (2-1) FRESNO STATE
AT #13 (2-0) UCLA -11 (OPEN -11)win
bulldogs are 5-0 ats of late vs pac 12 opponents, while the bruins are just 2-6 ats as ooc home chalk, 3-7 ats in total as home favorites. upset? fresno state.

[nu5ncbigred]

THE GAMES

1. (2-0) CENTRAL FLORIDA


2. (2-0) MICHIGAN STATE


3. (2-0) #15 VIRGINIA TECH


4. (2-1) NEBRASKA


5. (2-0) #8 CINCINNATI


6. (1-1) MINNESOTA


7. (2-0) #12 NOTRE DAME -7

8. #1 (2-0) ALABAMA


9. (1-1) NORTHWESTERN

10. (2-0) MEMPHIS +3.5 (OPEN +3)

11. (2-0) SAN DIEGO STATE +7 (OPEN +7)

12. #10 (2-0) PENN STATE -6 (OPEN -7)

13. #21 (1-1) NORTH CAROLINA -9 (OPEN -10)

14. (1-1) BOISE STATE -4.5 (OPEN -4)

15. #23 (2-0) BYU +3.5 (OPEN +2)

16. #13 (2-0) UCLA -11 (OPEN -11)

[ETGator1]

I can't catch a break in the pick'em contest this season. UCF was -7 over Louisville, but lost by 7 to the Cardinals. 0-1.

trn was the only player to pick Louisville. 

Didn't see the game, but Louisville lost to Ole Miss by 19 two weeks ago on a neutral field. The Big 12 is saying this AM: "dang, should have offered Memphis." 

[gatr55555]

Sept 18, 2021 8:28:15 GMT -5 ETGator1 said:

I can't catch a break in the pick'em contest this season. UCF was -7 over Louisville, but lost by 7 to the Cardinals. 0-1.

trn was the only player to pick Louisville. 

Didn't see the game, but Louisville lost to Ole Miss by 19 two weeks ago on a neutral field. The Big 12 is saying this AM: "dang, should have offered Memphis." 

I picked the Cards too. I hate UCF.

[AlaCowboy]

Looks like a 7-9 week for me.

Should have gone to Athens this weekend. Darn good game.
Florida gave Alabama all they could handle. Saban has a few more grey hairs this morning.
Looks like ucla isn't back after all.
Clemson may not be playing the Ukelele at QB after this weekend.
Tulsa had 301 total yards against ohio state? Bring back Urban Meyer!
Oklahoma moved UP in the polls?
Clemson didn't drop in the polls?

[gatr55555]

6-10 another stellar week <sigh>

[mscott59]

10-6. baby steps in the right direction.

Sept 17, 2021 16:12:55 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

seth macfarlane doesn't get the credit/pub he deserves for the combo of comic & musical chops he has. underrated funny flick.

1. (2-0) CENTRAL FLORIDA
AT (1-1) LOUISVILLE +7 (OPEN +8) loss. a 65 yd pick 6 w/0:30 left??? lol
I thought scott satterfield would have more success w/the cards than he has. l'ville is 0-7 ats of late as dogs of 10/less, while ucf is 6-1 ats as aac road chalk the last 7 games. plus they absolutely obliterated boise state in their opener. central florida.

2. (2-0) MICHIGAN STATE
AT (1-1) #24 MIAMI (FLA) -6.5 (OPEN -8) loss. 4 canes turnovers
sparty has impressed out of the gate, but they're just 4-11 ats off a su win lately. despite getting blown out by alabama and sneaking by appy st., the canes have actually looked very good vs the run. plus they are 12-0 su/8-3-1 ats at home in ooc games vs fbs opponents. university of miami.

3. (2-0) #15 VIRGINIA TECH
AT (2-0) WEST VIRGINIA -3 (OPEN -3). win
hokies have looked better so far, especially w/the 17-10 unc win 2 weeks ago, and they've only allowed 24 pts so far this year (yeah, this buckeye fan is envious-lol). va tech also holds a 14-5-1 ats edge in this series, though they haven't played much since vt joined the acc. 'eers are 5-0 su/ats vs the last 5 ooc opponents at home. I think their offense will be the difference here. west virginia.

4. (1-1) NEBRASKA
AT (2-0) #3 OKLAHOMA -22.5 (OPEN -23)loss. guess I should've figured sooners wouldn't score 27 today
sad to see the huskers in this game that meant so much during the big 8 days moons ago. sooners have scored 27+ pts in 65 straight games. unl is, since 1980, 34-107-5 ats in games where they allow 27+. ouch. there are reports that nebraska tried to get out of this game. I'm guessing after it's over they'll wish they just didn't show up. oklahoma.

5. (2-0) #8 CINCINNATI
AT (1-1) INDIANA +3.5 (OPEN +3)loss. this one surprised me.
imho the wrong team is favored here. iu got buried 34-6 in their opener vs iowa but that was mostly due to 3 1st half picks, 2 of them run back for td's. bearcats do have a bye next week before the 2nd huge game for their cfb playoff hopes at south bend. that said, they're 0-5 su the last 5 on the road vs big 10 teams when they have a winning record, just 3-6 ats the last 9 as road chalk, while iu is 9-1 ats the last 10 games off a win. indiana.

6. (1-1) MINNESOTA
AT (1-1) COLORADO -2 (OPEN +3)win
buffs held their own in a tough loss to texas a&m last week, while the gophers were in a hangover after a tough loss to tosu, barely hanging on to beat miami u. even w/o ibrahim though, I think minnesota catches cu in a good hangover spot. plus the 5 point swing in this line is way too much. minnesota.

7. (2-0) PURDUE
AT (2-0) #12 NOTRE DAME -7 (OPEN -8)win
could the boilers actually draw inspiration from the fact that the arrogant irish won't let their band bring their giant base drum into the stadium saturday? (it only fits thru what's now the nd-only tunnel onto the field). meh. irish is just 1-5 ats as home chalk now after sweating out a win over toledo. purdue is 8-1 ats lately getting 7+, but they haven't faced a secondary this good. the betting trends lean toward pu, but imho the talent leans the other way. notre dame.

8. #1 (2-0) ALABAMA
AT #13 (2-0) FLORIDA +15.5 (OPEN +15)win. rushing yds... uf had 245, alabama 91
here's an amazing cfb stat; during his time in tuscaloosa, nick saban is 8-18 ats as chalk of 14+ when his team's average rushing stats are less than his opponent's. so, can uf control the clock and the los, keeping the tide's potent passing offense off the field, and forcing a first year starting qb to have to play into the 4th qtr? they did it last year vs a stronger alabama team. there's no doubt which team has more talent. but I think this stays interesting late. florida.

9. (1-1) NORTHWESTERN
AT (1-1) DUKE +3 (OPEN +2)win
n'western hasn't looked good opening the season w/lots of new faces. blue devils are 18-6 ats the last 24 vs ooc opponents. duke.

10. (2-0) MISSISSIPPI STATE
AT (2-0) MEMPHIS +3.5 (OPEN +3)win
bulldogs have lsu up next... I think they may be looking ahead. plus the tigers offense has been real good to open the season. cfb nerd stat #2: since '91, game 3 home dogs who put up 40+ points in their 1st 2 games are 13-2 ats. memphis.

11. (1-1) UTAH
AT (2-0) SAN DIEGO STATE +7 (OPEN +7)loss
aztecs have wins over 2 cupcakes (n mx st, 'zona) and the utes come in hot off a loss to arch rival byu, plus they are 6-1 ats off a -8/less favorite su loss. utah.

12. #22 (2-0) AUBURN
AT #10 (2-0) PENN STATE -6 (OPEN -7)win. big 10 may have 14 members, but I thought sec officials could count to 4 instead of forcing a psu punt on 3rd down. lol
torn here. sec teams as ooc dogs are $$, but auburn qb bo nix has been dr. jekyll at home (12-2 record, 20 tds vs 1 pick), mr hyde on the road (5-7 record, 12 td's, 12 int) in his career. unsettling numbers vs a psu d that looks pretty solid. war eagle is also just 8-17 ats in away games, while the nitts are 31-10-1 ats off a win. penn state.

13. (2-0) VIRGINIA
AT #21 (1-1) NORTH CAROLINA -9 (OPEN -10)win
uva has won/covered 4 straight in the series, but last year it came despite being outgained by 130 yds. unc is 6-1 ats as home chalk. North Carolina.

14. (2-0) OKLAHOMA STATE
AT (1-1) BOISE STATE -4.5 (OPEN -4)loss. and it shouldn't have been. late in 4th bsu ran a fumble back for a td that refs inexcusably blew dead. replay corrected possession but took away the 6.
broncos are 8-2 ats as home chalk, the cowboys have been a little sluggish on offense and also have some injuries. boise state.

15. #19 (2-0) ARIZONA STATE
AT #23 (2-0) BYU +3.5 (OPEN +2)win
this one is a toss up to me. asu has easy wins over 2 nobodies. cougars are still celebrating finally beating utah last week. byu is 9-0 as dogs off a su win, and I think their defense carries the day despite a poor record vs pac 12 foes. brigham young.

16. (2-1) FRESNO STATE
AT #13 (2-0) UCLA -11 (OPEN -11)win
bulldogs are 5-0 ats of late vs pac 12 opponents, while the bruins are just 2-6 ats as ooc home chalk, 3-7 ats in total as home favorites. upset? fresno state.

[drjensen]

Looks like I kissed my sister, went 8-8. Have you all ever seen so many blown calls by the zebras? Most of them didn't alter the outcome of the game per se, but there were a couple that certainly may have. 

Discussion: I was not aware that replay could instigate a penalty. An on-side kick was reviewed to see if the kicking team, who did recover the ball, had touched the ball before it had gone 10 yards and if the ball had actually gone 10 yards. Nothing wrong with that. Replay showed the kicking team did not touch the ball in the 10 yards, the ball had in fact covered the necessary 10 yards and was recovered by the kicking team. However, it was determined by the replay booth that an illegal block was made during the kickoff, a block that was missed in live action by the refs, and a penalty was assessed and the kicking team was required to re-kick the ball. Weird!!!! 

During the Iowa game, a receiver caught a pass, made several steps with the ball in his possession. While being tackled, the ball was jarred loose but the receiver never lost control and the ball never hit the ground. Upstairs replay official called it otherwise and it was ruled an incomplete pass. Even the broadcasters were in disbelief. According to the officials, Penn State only gets 3 downs, what's up with that? I saw the refs in Memphis think it is ok to have 2 #4's on the field at the same time. I would hope this week there are several meetings with the officials around the country telling advising them to sharpen up their skills.  

[ETGator1]

6-10 - Bad for 3 weeks in a row so not looking good for the 21 contest.

[Panama pfRedd]

8-8