WEEK 3

[trnyerheadncough]

Sept 15, 2023 21:00:22 GMT -5 gatr55555 said:

Sept 13, 2023 14:23:41 GMT -5 trnyerheadncough said:

LSU -9.5
KANSAS STATE -5
MINNESOTA +7.5
FLORIDA +6.5

Ironic that the only other person to pick UF is a Seminole fan. 😄You're not trying to jinx us are ya??🤨😉

Just trying to stay on the right side of the football gods.

[AlaCowboy]

LSU

K State

UNC

10RC

Vandy

Arkansas

---------

Syracuse

Louisville

Appy State

Okie State

N. Ill.

W. Va.

TCU

Fresno State

Bonus

Georgia

Bowling Green (Ohio, not Kentucky)

FSU

Texas

W. Kentucky

[oujour76]

MS State
Missouri
North Carolina
Tennessee
UNLV
BYU
Purdue
Louisville
ECU
South Alabama
Nebraska
Pitt
Houston
Fresno
Georgia
Bowling Green
Boston College
Wyoming
Western Kentucky

[mscott59]

Sept 12, 2023 21:16:52 GMT -5 Walter said:

"You know, I'll never forget my old dad. When these things would happen to him... the things he'd say to me."
"What did he say?"
"What the hell are you doing in the bathroom day and night? Why don't you get out of there and give someone else a chance?"

WEEK 3 SCHEDULE

16SEP23

1. #14 LSU AT MISSISSIPPI STATE +9.5
tigers are 1-7 ats of late as road chalk, 1-5 ats as single digit away favorites. I like 2-0 home dogs in a 3rd straight home game. and since 2000, when that unbeaten home dog is facing a team who allows 13+/game and is off a blow out (36+) win, they're 23-6 ats. lsu has struggled early to stop the run, and I think msu goes that way.

2. #15 KANSAS STATE AT MISSOURI +5
been going back and forth on this, because I like ksu's karma, especially since most have forgotten they're the actual defending big 12 champs and not texas. but the wildcats are 5-10 ats in opening road games, and mizzou also qualifies as a 2-0 home dog.

3. MINNESOTA AT #20 NORTH CAROLINA -7.5
that line is begging folks to take the gophers, but minnesota is 1-4 ats of late as road dogs vs ranked foes, and does not have the chops on offense to hang w/unc. huge edge for the heels at qb w/drake maye too.

4. #11 TENNESSEE AT FLORIDA +6.5
and this line is begging folks to lay $$ on the vols. it's been 2 decades since bowo has knocked off uf in back to back years, and it's the 1st time they've been favored in gainesville since '93. gators struggle to score but I like their run defense.

5. VANDERBILT AT UNLV +4
in the previous 3 seasons, the commodores have been favorites just twice. this year? v-u is now chalk for the 3rd time in 4 games. unlv covering last week in ann arbor was a mirage. but I'll gamble on the rebels to lose by 3.

6. BYU AT ARKANSAS -8
big step up in competition for new big 12 member byu. cougars are 11-4 ats as road dogs, and are looking for revenge from a 52-35 whipping by the hogs in '22. arkansas has lsu on deck, which would normally mean a fade here. but k.j. jefferson may be the best qb in the sec, and they get rb rocket sanders back from injury.

7. regardless of the outcome, I like my chances on this pick.

8. SYRACUSE AT PURDUE -2.5
won $$ on both of these teams last week. last yr the orange won a thriller 32-29. boilers get revenge.

9. INDIANA AT LOUISVILLE -10
cards drive by bloomington on their way to indy to take on the hoosiers. trends are horrible for both teams, but I thought iu's defense did a nice job vs the buckeyes in the season opener so I think they lose while keeping this close.

10. EAST CAROLINA AT APPALACHIAN STATE -9.5
asu is 11-0 su at home off a loss since '16, but just 1-10 ats in their last 11 games as chalk. plus, on the heels of another heartbreaking loss in chapel hill to unc, tough to bounce back. ecu is 14-3 ats as 10/under dogs off a 10+ loss.

11. SOUTH ALABAMA AT OKLAHOMA STATE -7
wow this line seems low, doesn't it? cowboys are still juggling 3 qb's trying to find a starter, and all are expected to play this week. usa is the 4th most experienced team in cfb, but they're 6-11 ats as road dogs off a su win, and osu is 33-15 ats as ooc home chalk.

12. NORTHERN ILLINOIS AT NEBRASKA -11
huskies vs huskers. niu ís one of the best road dogs in cfb... 27-9-1 ats of late. yes, they lost to fcs southern illinois 14-11 last week, but in that game they outgained siu by 150 yds. going -3 in turnovers did them in, something unl is an expert in, going -6 in turnover ratio the first two weeks,. nebraska is 6-19 ats as home chalk.

13. PITTSBURGH AT WEST VIRGINIA +1
good to see the backyard brawl back in morgantown, w/the series being revived in '22 after an 11 year break. pitt is 14-3 ats as away favorites of late. wvu coach neal brown really REALLY needs a win though. mountaineers get one.

14. TCU AT HOUSTON +7.5
cougars are 12-28 as home dogs off a loss... and the loss was to rice... not exactly a cfb power. tcu has won the last 5 vs houston, and is 5-1 ats as road chalk when scoring 35+.

15. FRESNO STATE AT ARIZONA ST. +3
fsu is 6-2 ats of late vs the pac 12, w/wins over over washington st and ucla the last 2 yrs as well as purdue this year. sun devils are barely averaging over 300 yds/game on offense.

BONUS GAMES

1. SOUTH CAROLINA AT #1 GEORGIA -27.5
after a couple ho hum starts, uga gets out of the gate fast here and doesn't look back.

2. BOWLING GREEN AT #2 MICHIGAN -40.5
a ridiculously big number... my son in law and grandson are headed up to ann arbor now and they may head back home by halftime.

3. #3 FLORIDA STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE +26
just wondering if the weather is a factor in chestnut hill today that makes this a touch closer

4. WYOMING AT #4TEXAS -28.5
cowboys typically feel right at home in texas. wyoming's already knocked off texas tech, and here's a cfb nerd stat alert; since 1980, favorites of 16+ off an upset win over alabama are just 2-9 ats.

5. WESTERN KENTUCKY AT #6 OHIO STATE -27.5
the hilltoppers have the passing offense for a backdoor cover here.

[Walter]

16SEP23

1. #14 LSU AT MISSISSIPPI STATE +9.5
2. #15 KANSAS STATE AT MISSOURI +5
3. MINNESOTA AT #20 NORTH CAROLINA -7.5
4. #11 TENNESSEE AT FLORIDA +6.5
5. VANDERBILT AT UNLV +4
6. BYU AT ARKANSAS -8
7.
8. SYRACUSE AT PURDUE -2.5
9. INDIANA AT LOUISVILLE -10
10. EAST CAROLINA AT APPALACHIAN STATE -9.5
11. SOUTH ALABAMA AT OKLAHOMA STATE -7
12. NORTHERN ILLINOIS AT NEBRASKA -11
13. PITTSBURGH AT WEST VIRGINIA +1
14. TCU AT HOUSTON +7.5
15. FRESNO STATE AT ARIZONA ST. +3

BONUS GAMES

1. SOUTH CAROLINA AT #1 GEORGIA -27.5
2. BOWLING GREEN AT #2 MICHIGAN -40.5
3. #3 FLORIDA STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE +26
4. WYOMING AT #4TEXAS -28.5
5. WESTERN KENTUCKY AT #6 OHIO STATE -27.5
[/quote]

[AlaCowboy]

Wow! What a week of football. 9-10 for me, I think. I'll recheck this afternoon. Three cheers for University of South Alabama.

Edit: Looks like 8-11

[mscott59]

10-9 I believe

Sept 16, 2023 10:49:06 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Sept 12, 2023 21:16:52 GMT -5 Walter said:

"You know, I'll never forget my old dad. When these things would happen to him... the things he'd say to me."
"What did he say?"
"What the hell are you doing in the bathroom day and night? Why don't you get out of there and give someone else a chance?"

WEEK 3 SCHEDULE

16SEP23

1. #14 LSU AT MISSISSIPPI STATE +9.5. loss
tigers are 1-7 ats of late as road chalk, 1-5 ats as single digit away favorites. I like 2-0 home dogs in a 3rd straight home game. and since 2000, when that unbeaten home dog is facing a team who allows 13+/game and is off a blow out (36+) win, they're 23-6 ats. lsu has struggled early to stop the run, and I think msu goes that way.

2. #15 KANSAS STATE AT MISSOURI +5. win
been going back and forth on this, because I like ksu's karma, especially since most have forgotten they're the actual defending big 12 champs and not texas. but the wildcats are 5-10 ats in opening road games, and mizzou also qualifies as a 2-0 home dog.

3. MINNESOTA AT #20 NORTH CAROLINA -7.5. win
that line is begging folks to take the gophers, but minnesota is 1-4 ats of late as road dogs vs ranked foes, and does not have the chops on offense to hang w/unc. huge edge for the heels at qb w/drake maye too.

4. #11 TENNESSEE AT FLORIDA +6.5. win
and this line is begging folks to lay $$ on the vols. it's been 2 decades since bowo has knocked off uf in back to back years, and it's the 1st time they've been favored in gainesville since '93. gators struggle to score but I like their run defense.

5. VANDERBILT AT UNLV +4. win
in the previous 3 seasons, the commodores have been favorites just twice. this year? v-u is now chalk for the 3rd time in 4 games. unlv covering last week in ann arbor was a mirage. but I'll gamble on the rebels to lose by 3.

6. BYU AT ARKANSAS -8. loss.
big step up in competition for new big 12 member byu. cougars are 11-4 ats as road dogs, and are looking for revenge from a 52-35 whipping by the hogs in '22. arkansas has lsu on deck, which would normally mean a fade here. but k.j. jefferson may be the best qb in the sec, and they get rb rocket sanders back from injury.

7. regardless of the outcome, I like my chances on this pick.

8. SYRACUSE AT PURDUE -2.5 loss
won $$ on both of these teams last week. last yr the orange won a thriller 32-29. boilers get revenge.

9. INDIANA AT LOUISVILLE -10. win
cards drive by bloomington on their way to indy to take on the hoosiers. trends are horrible for both teams, but I thought iu's defense did a nice job vs the buckeyes in the season opener so I think they lose while keeping this close.

10. EAST CAROLINA AT APPALACHIAN STATE -9.5. loss
asu is 11-0 su at home off a loss since '16, but just 1-10 ats in their last 11 games as chalk. plus, on the heels of another heartbreaking loss in chapel hill to unc, tough to bounce back. ecu is 14-3 ats as 10/under dogs off a 10+ loss.

11. SOUTH ALABAMA AT OKLAHOMA STATE -7. loss
wow this line seems low, doesn't it? cowboys are still juggling 3 qb's trying to find a starter, and all are expected to play this week. usa is the 4th most experienced team in cfb, but they're 6-11 ats as road dogs off a su win, and osu is 33-15 ats as ooc home chalk.

12. NORTHERN ILLINOIS AT NEBRASKA -11. loss
huskies vs huskers. niu ís one of the best road dogs in cfb... 27-9-1 ats of late. yes, they lost to fcs southern illinois 14-11 last week, but in that game they outgained siu by 150 yds. going -3 in turnovers did them in, something unl is an expert in, going -6 in turnover ratio the first two weeks,. nebraska is 6-19 ats as home chalk.

13. PITTSBURGH AT WEST VIRGINIA +1. win
good to see the backyard brawl back in morgantown, w/the series being revived in '22 after an 11 year break. pitt is 14-3 ats as away favorites of late. wvu coach neal brown really REALLY needs a win though. mountaineers get one.

14. TCU AT HOUSTON +7.5. win
cougars are 12-28 as home dogs off a loss... and the loss was to rice... not exactly a cfb power. tcu has won the last 5 vs houston, and is 5-1 ats as road chalk when scoring 35+.

15. FRESNO STATE AT ARIZONA ST. +3. win
fsu is 6-2 ats of late vs the pac 12, w/wins over over washington st and ucla the last 2 yrs as well as purdue this year. sun devils are barely averaging over 300 yds/game on offense.

BONUS GAMES

1. SOUTH CAROLINA AT #1 GEORGIA -27.5. loss
after a couple ho hum starts, uga gets out of the gate fast here and doesn't look back.

2. BOWLING GREEN AT #2 MICHIGAN -40.5. loss
a ridiculously big number... my son in law and grandson are headed up to ann arbor now and they may head back home by halftime.

3. #3 FLORIDA STATE AT BOSTON COLLEGE +26. win
just wondering if the weather is a factor in chestnut hill today that makes this a touch closer

4. WYOMING AT #4TEXAS -28.5. win
cowboys typically feel right at home in texas. wyoming's already knocked off texas tech, and here's a cfb nerd stat alert; since 1980, favorites of 16+ off an upset win over alabama are just 2-9 ats.

5. WESTERN KENTUCKY AT #6 OHIO STATE -27.5. loss
the hilltoppers have the passing offense for a backdoor cover here.

[gatr55555]

Sept 15, 2023 21:41:23 GMT -5 trnyerheadncough said:

Sept 15, 2023 21:00:22 GMT -5 gatr55555 said:

Ironic that the only other person to pick UF is a Seminole fan. 😄You're not trying to jinx us are ya??🤨😉

Just trying to stay on the right side of the football gods.

Well it worked lol. I guess your our little Garnet and Gold luck charm.😁

[trnyerheadncough]

Sept 17, 2023 19:50:16 GMT -5 gatr55555 said:

Sept 15, 2023 21:41:23 GMT -5 trnyerheadncough said:

Just trying to stay on the right side of the football gods.

Well it worked lol. I guess your our little Garnet and Gold luck charm.😁

Keep that in mind when I start picking against the Gators henceforth.