“I've known her since the first grade, you don't f-word someone you met in the first grade.”
“Excuse me, I met my wife in kindergarten, we got married senior year, and she's been the queen of my world ever since.”
“But what if you could do it all over again?”
“I would jerk off and live by myself. That woman is the bane of my existence."uh, no clue on this one. kinda like the clues I've had on my picks in '23.
WEEK 14CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKALL TIMES EST
FRIDAY – 1 DEC7:00P
CONFERENCE USA CGNEW MEXICO STATE (10-3) AGGIES V
LIBERTY FLAMES (12-0) -10.
win2nd trip to lynchburg, va for the aggies, who lost 33-17 to liberty back in early sept (also the last game n mx st didn't cover this yr). so naturally you'd look for revenge here, right? well, since 2000 there has been over 100 rematches in conference championship games and the avenging team is 51-56 su/54-53 ats, so no real edge there. but if the team who won game 1 is .916+ and coming off back/back wins? the avenger is 3-17 su/6-14 ats. new mexico st coach jerry kill deserves a statue and a lifetime annuity from the school for reaching 10 wins, but the flames are one of just 4 fbs teams who outgained every foe this year, are better on offense, better on d, even in special teams, they're at home, and they know a big win could improve their changes for a new year's 6 bowl.
8:00P
PAC 12 CGOREGON DUCKS (11-1) V
WASHINGTON HUSKIES (12-0) +9.5.
winthis line as of today is now -10, so there's lots of duck lovin' out there. bo nix (making his record 60th career start at qb) has had a season for the ages (oregon is also amongst the group of 4 who've outgained all opponents) thanks in part to burying team early (uo has outscored foes 327-104 in the 1st half of games). that also means oregon has not played a lot of 2nd halves that had much drama; matter of fact they only had 3 games decided by less than 10 pts, and 1 was due to usc getting 2 4th qtr td's to lose by only 9. but the huskies have been the '02 buckeyes/luck-eyes of '23; 8 straight wins by 10/less, w/the last 2 by a total of 5 pts. they've also covered 4 straight games away from home as underdogs. oregon has the edge in the stats, and they're also 14-4-1 ats in the series of late, but 1. they also qualify as a team out for revenge in a trend that doesn't favor the avenger, 2. the ducks are only 3-8 su vs uw when the huskies are very good (.875+), and 3. I love unbeatens getting points. washington.
SATURDAY – 2 DEC12:00A
BIG 12 CGOKLAHOMA STATE (9-3) V TEXAS LONGHORNS (11-1) -14.5
lossit would really behoove my favorite osu if this osu was able to pull off the big upset, but I don't see it. cowboy rb ollie gordon averaged 130 yd/game rushing, but he's going up vs a texas defense that's allowed just 82 yds/game and has picked off 15 passes. quinn ewers has been very good since returning to the starting lineup, but he will be missing his top receiver and the 'horns are down to their #3 rb due to injuries. texas still has depth in terms of talent though. that said, okie state is 15-6 ats as big 12 dogs. oh, what the hell. oklahoma state.
MAC CGMIAMI REDHAWKS (10-2) V TOLEDO ROCKETS (11-1) -7.5.
winwhen the rockets knocked off the redhawks 21-17 in october, a big key was miami losing qb blake gabbers for the season w/a leg injury. ut is another of the 4 teams who've outgained every opponent in '23, but they're just 6-14-1 ats vs revenge and 1-6 ats away from home this season as chalk. on the other side, the redhawks are 21-5 ats as dogs off an ats loss, 8-1 ats w/mac revenge, and dogs in the mac title games are 15-6-2 ats. miami university.
3:00P
MOUNTAIN WEST CGBOISE STATE BRONCOS (7-5) V
UNLV REBELS (9-3) +2.
lossso how many teams have ever fired their coach in mid november and then won 3 straight to make a ccg? that's what bsu did to make its 7th mwc title game, but this will be the first one they haven't hosted. but apparently the broncos still had an 'in' w/whoever programs the league computers, who picked boise and unlv to play in the ccg and leave out san jose st, who's win over the rebels forced a 3 way tie for 1st. unlv is 5-0 ats as dogs this season, and the underdog in the mwc finale is 8-2 ats. broncos are just 2-7 ats off 3 straight su/ats wins of late. I do wonder if there'll be more boise fans at this game than unlv backers even though the game is in vegas, but I'm runnin w/the rebels.
4:00P
SEC CGGEORGIA BULLDOGS (12-0) V
ALABAMA CRIMSON TIDE (11-1) +6.
win1 team is on a 29 game win streak and looking for a 3-peat. the other returns to the ccg after a 1 year absence where they've won 8 straight title games and taken 3 of the last 4 as an underdog. both looked sluggish last week, but only one needed a 4th & 31 milroe miracle to keep their playoff hopes alive. the tide's o-line, after giving up 35 sacks in their 1st 8 games, has allowed just 4 in the last 4. the dawgs have looked their best when playing the toughest competition this season, but it's also been 20 years since they've beaten 'bama in back to back years. w/saban 11-2 ats as a dog of 7/less w/revenge, gotta take the points here. alabama
AMERICAN ATHLETIC CGSMU MUSTANGS (10-2) V TULANE GREEN WAVE (11-1) -4.5.
wina year ago, tulane made it to the cotton bowl, and got its 1st win over a top 25 foe since 1984 beating usc. the green wave now is chalk to go back to back aac titles, before both of these teams go from aac to acc. for smu this would be its 1st league title in football since the dickerson/james swc days of '82. unfortunately, the mustangs lost their starting qb preston stone last week to a broken leg. the back up has gotten lots of mop up playing time this season though. and tulane's offense has struggled down the stretch in november. smu has looked better vs league competition, too. southern methodist.
SUN BELT CGAPPALACHIAN STATE MOUNTAINEERS (8-4) V
TROY TROJANS (10-2) -6.5.
winappy st may have given james madison its only loss of the season, but if there was any justice jmu would be in this game instead of the mountaineers. troy is looking for its 2nd straight sbc title, and has won 21 of its last 23 games, but they're 2-8 su in its last 10 vs asu, who is a $$-making 12-1-1 ats as an underdog. a year ago asu hit a hail mary on the final play to upset the trojans 32-28. I'm going against the trends here, banking on the home team getting revenge. troy.
8:00P
BIG TEN CGMICHIGAN WOLVERINES (12-0) V IOWA HAWKEYES (10-2) +23.
win, and another iowa game goes under the totalif this was '24, um and tosu would be playing a 2nd time for the 1st time ever. but it's '23, which also happens to be the point spread. favorites are just 4-8 ats in the big 10 moneymaker, and the wolverines are just 8-15-1 ats of late after playing the buckeyes. the hawkeyes are 11-7 ats as 14+ underdogs, 4-0 ats when they have a winning record. but... these 2 played 6 common opponents this year. um won by an average of 40-8. Iowa won by an average of 15-13. at psu, the hawks put up 76 yds of total offense and 0 points, possessing the ball for just 14:30. that a lot of pressure for even the best defense. Iowa's is very good, but um's defense is just as good, they turn opponents over (+21 I believe) and I think the ugly hats may be the 1st team in league history to possess the ball for more than 60:00.
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michigan
ACC CGLOUISVILLE CARDINALS (10-2) V FLORIDA STATE SEMINOLES (12-0) -2.5.
loss. gritty win by the nolesboth looked shaky vs in-state sec rivals last week, but fsu was able to pull out a win over uf, while 'ville blew a lead to lose to uk. in the last 5 years, the cardinals are 15-6 ats as a dog off a loss. florida st. is 3-14 ats vs opponents off a loss. also the noles, unfortunately, are down to their 3rd string qb. louisville.
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Jan 13, 2020 17:38:49 GMT -5
Jan 13, 2020 17:38:49 GMT -5
May 1, 2022 14:04:40 GMT -5
May 1, 2022 14:04:40 GMT -5
