Post by trnyerheadncough on Oct 13, 2014 10:29:50 GMT -5
A few interesting things that I've noticed along the way...
1. Probably the most interesting thing about this season is how many huge underdogs from our board perspective, have come through for the tiny minorities...
By this I mean the following: I took all of the games wherein 75% or more of our players took one team over another (basically, every game that broke down 16-4 or more). You'd be surprised how often the minority wins.
Week 1:
With only 17 players, we had 4 games that had a 13-4 (or higher) breakdown:
Mississippi-BSU, Clemson-UGA, LSU-Wisconsin, FSU-Oklahoma State. In 2 of those games (Wisconsin and Ok State), the huge underdogs came through.
It gets worse.
Week 2:
Up to 20 players now, so all games 15-5 or higher:
Arizona-UTSA, Navy-Temple, Stanford-USC, MSU-Oregon, BYU-Texas. 3 out of 4 (UTSA, USC, Oregon, and BYU), underdogs. That's 5 out of 8.
Week 3:
5 games...UCF-Mizzou, WVU-Maryland, Louisville-UVA, Tennessee-Oklahoma, UCLA-Texas. Underdogs only got 2 of 5 this time.
Week 4:
5 games...Clemson-FSU, Mississippi State-LSU, Maryland-Syracuse, Utah-Michigan, Cal-Arizona. Underdogs...3 out of 5.
Week 5:
4 games...Missouri-South Carolina, North Carolina-Clemson, Duke-Miami, and Baylor-Iowa State. Dogs got 2, but Baylor-ISU was a push. So, 2-1-1
Week 6:
5 games...Oklahoma-TCU, Bama-Ole Miss, Nebraska-Michigan State, Arizona State-USC, and Ohio State-Maryland. Dogs got 4 of 5.
Week 7:
Only 2 games...Duke-GT and Penn State-Michigan. Dogs got both.
Amazing that in games where 75% or more of our players picked a certain team....that 75% lost 18 out of 29 games, with one push... 18-10-1.
2. Also, in games where we have a dog of 10 points or more, the dog has covered in more than 2/3s of them, 22-10-1
I'll probably look at some other stuff later...but those things jumped out at me.
1. Probably the most interesting thing about this season is how many huge underdogs from our board perspective, have come through for the tiny minorities...
By this I mean the following: I took all of the games wherein 75% or more of our players took one team over another (basically, every game that broke down 16-4 or more). You'd be surprised how often the minority wins.
Week 1:
With only 17 players, we had 4 games that had a 13-4 (or higher) breakdown:
Mississippi-BSU, Clemson-UGA, LSU-Wisconsin, FSU-Oklahoma State. In 2 of those games (Wisconsin and Ok State), the huge underdogs came through.
It gets worse.
Week 2:
Up to 20 players now, so all games 15-5 or higher:
Arizona-UTSA, Navy-Temple, Stanford-USC, MSU-Oregon, BYU-Texas. 3 out of 4 (UTSA, USC, Oregon, and BYU), underdogs. That's 5 out of 8.
Week 3:
5 games...UCF-Mizzou, WVU-Maryland, Louisville-UVA, Tennessee-Oklahoma, UCLA-Texas. Underdogs only got 2 of 5 this time.
Week 4:
5 games...Clemson-FSU, Mississippi State-LSU, Maryland-Syracuse, Utah-Michigan, Cal-Arizona. Underdogs...3 out of 5.
Week 5:
4 games...Missouri-South Carolina, North Carolina-Clemson, Duke-Miami, and Baylor-Iowa State. Dogs got 2, but Baylor-ISU was a push. So, 2-1-1
Week 6:
5 games...Oklahoma-TCU, Bama-Ole Miss, Nebraska-Michigan State, Arizona State-USC, and Ohio State-Maryland. Dogs got 4 of 5.
Week 7:
Only 2 games...Duke-GT and Penn State-Michigan. Dogs got both.
Amazing that in games where 75% or more of our players picked a certain team....that 75% lost 18 out of 29 games, with one push... 18-10-1.
2. Also, in games where we have a dog of 10 points or more, the dog has covered in more than 2/3s of them, 22-10-1
I'll probably look at some other stuff later...but those things jumped out at me.
