jennifer aniston amidst a bunch of geeks. wonder if that means she'd fit right in in our little land of misfits?
THURSDAY NIGHT:
California +3 at UCLA: cal's had a bye week to heal from blowing a very winnable game at utah. bruins trying to figure out how to plug multiple leaks in the collapsing dam that's become their defense. in the last 5 weeks, they've given up 3, then 23. then 30, then 38, and last week to stanford, 56. and now jared goff brings his aerial talents to town. home team is 13-2 su in the series lately, 12-2-1 ats and has covered the last 5 games. ucla is still more talented overall, but they're 2-11 ats at home vs revenge, bears are 6-1 ats as road dogs lately, 9-1 ats w/rest. and (nerd cfb stat alert #1) teams who started the season 4-0, but lost su/ats their last 2 games (ucla), are just 12-26-1 ats vs .500+ teams. this is cal's 2nd biggest rivalry game (not so much for ucla). i'd feel better if i was getting 7 instead of 3, but i'll take california.
Temple +3 at East Carolina: unbeaten at 6-0 and ranked for the 1st time since '79. quite a year for the owls. temple is 4-1 ats in weekday games, ecu 0-8-1. but ihs already mentioned how dominant the pirates were vs temple last yr, except for putting the ball up for grabs 8 times (losing 5). ecu is 4-3 but vs a much stronger schedule. plus notre dame next week, especially for a team new to success, is hard to block out. east carolina.
FRIDAY GAME:
Memphis -10 1/2 at Tulsa: yet another unbeaten aac team goes on the road. tigers off their biggest win in 20 years, over mississippi. tulsa is 3-3, w/losses to ecu last week, houston and at oklahoma, none of them blowouts. memphis is 6-3-1 as road chalk, tulsa just 2-6 as home dogs. but memphis is not only off a huge win, but they also are 0-7-2 ats as weeknight favorites. hm. tulsa has won 4 of the last 5 in the series. hm. lynch has been outstanding at qb for the tigers, but 5-0+ unbeaten road favorites off a 10+ win are just 30-57-1 ats since '80. plus -17/under road faves off a win as a 10+ dog? 10-21-1 since '80. i like the situation, the trends, and the golden hurricane enough for them to keep it close. tulsa.
SATURDAY GAMES:
Clemson -7 at Miami: canes are 4-2. problem has been more defense than offense, giving up 32/game to unl, cincy and fsu in consecutive weeks. been 5 yrs since these 2 have played, and its just the 2nd road game of the year for cu. i think watson is the best qb in the acc, and he led the tigers to 550+ of offense vs a good boston college d last week. but clemson is 0-4 ats the last 4 games giving pts on the road. miami is a strong 4-1 ats getting pts at home under golden. i don't like the fact that the canes have now lost 3 starting lb's to injury this yr, but a td is too much to pass up. miami fl.
Tennessee +15 1/2 at Alabama: one of my favorite on-going rivalries. but it's been one-side lately, w/the tide winning the last 8. just the 2nd true road game for the vols, who are 5-10 getting pts away from home the last 4+ yrs. 1-5 ats on the road after scoring 35+, 0-5 ats as +15+ dogs off a win. alabama has yet to cover a home game this year (0-4), but they are 5-0 vs teams off a dog win, 5-0 at home off a 10+ win vs revenge. the tide's offense has been up and down, but their d has been strong, and dobbs et al i don't think has the chops to make a dent. plus (cfb nerd stat #2) the last 14 games alabama has been a favorite between 11 and 19 pts, they are 11-3 ats. alabama
Texas A&M +6 at Mississippi: imho 2 of the more overrated teams in the country this season. this is the aggies' 1st true road game (2 neutral site games played in houston/arlington) and 1 of just 3 games they'll play this year outside the state of texas (did jeremy foley move to college station? ha-kidding). a&m hasn't been good off a loss vs good teams (0-9 ats vs .666+) but this a revenge game after losing 35-20 in '14. rebels off the loss at memphis; they're 9-5 ats as home chalk, but 1-5 vs sec teams. plus they are just 1-7 ats as small (-12/less) home faves after giving up 35+. and home faves of -14/under off a loss as -10+ are just 28-51 ats since '80. and to top it off, al says ol' miss is a fraud. and there's no smarter person on this board than al. just ask him.
texas a&m
Utah +3 1/2 at USC: i think this may be the first time in poll/vegas history that a top 5 team has been an underdog vs an unranked opponent. utah is the rodney dangerfield of cfb. no respect. utes are 6-0, they're 5-0 ats getting pts on the road lately, they beat usc in a wild finish 24-21 in salt lake city last year. booker has been a stud at rb for utah, but i'm not as big a fan of wilson, their qb, who imho is inconsistent. plus utah's d has been living off turnovers (+12 for the year). home team has covered all 4 games since utah joined the pac 12. 1st home game for sc since sark got canned. trojans put up nearly 600 yards of offense at south bend last week yet blew a 31-24 4th qtr lead. utah has been outgained in a majority of their games this year. i think vegas has a lot of smart guys. the last pac 12 unbeaten goes down. southern california.
Duke +2 1/2 at Virginia Tech: i was looking at the rankings this am. duke is #23, stanford is #10 (ap). unranked n'western has beaten both of them. does any other team have more wins vs currently ranked opponents? alabama vs uga/a&m. i think that's it, but i may be wrong. need to look that up. just thought that was interesting. anyhow, blue devils travel to blackburg to play a va tech team who has owned them. 13-1 su the last 14 games. last 2 games have been close and low-scoring (13-10 duke, 17-16 vt last yr). duke has been great on the road as a dog (7-2 ats), off a bye (4-0 ats), and w/revenge off an ooc game (8-1 ats). tech gets brewer back at qb, who broke his collar bone in the 2nd half vs osu. he figures to be rusty. hokies are just 5-13-1 ats as home chalk, but i think a more experience qb helps vt hold onto the ball vs a good duke d. plus, again, vegas has 5-1 ranked duke getting pts vs a 3-4 va tech team. why? maybe it's because duke's sos is in the bottom 20% of fbs, and vt's is in the top 20%? i think that will matter. virginia tech.
Indiana +16 1/2 at Michigan State: talk about two teams off emotional roller coasters. sparty gets the impossible win at ann arbor, while iu blows a 25 pt lead and loses 55-52 to rutgers. msu letdown? well, they're 6-0 su/ats after playing ranked um teams lately. hoosier are horrible on the big 10 road, losing 11 straight (3-8 ats), plus they're 5-10 as away dogs of late. their qb, sudfield, is good, but their defense is a sieve. still, msu has yet to beat a fbs opponent this year by more than 14 pts. indiana.
Texas Tech +14 1/2 at Oklahoma: i believe harry's question saturday night was whether the team who blew out ksu 55-0 were the real sooners, or whether it was the team who got shocked in dallas by texas. i say the former. ou qb mayfield is a tx tech transfer, so he'll be motivated to get back at klingsbury, who benched him there. plus the ou front 7 is doing a great job of pressuring qb's (21 sacks). tech is 3-7 as away dogs and just 1-10 ats w/revenge vs foes off a win; sooners just 3-5 as home chalk. oklahoma.
Wisconsin -7 at Illinois: badgers 5-2. won 38-28 last yr. uw is 7-10 as road favorites since '11, just 0-6 ats as -14/less on the road vs a foe off a bye. illini 8-4 as home dogs and have covered 3 of the last 4 in champaign vs the badgers. illinois.
Washington State +7 1/2 at Arizona: ua had to rally to beat colorado at home 38-31 last week. wsu is a quiet 4-2 and actually still in the pac 12 north race. they're averaging nearly 400 passing yds/game, they're 10-3 ats as road dogs the last 2+ years, 9-1 ats away vs .666+ opoonents. defense has not been the wildcats' strong suit this season. this should be a scoring fest, and i'll take the points. washington state.
Ladies and gentlemen, I have been to the Great Wall of China, I have seen the Pyramids of Egypt, I've even witnessed a grown man satisfy a camel. But never in all my years as a sportscaster have I witnessed something as improbable, as impossible, as what we've witnessed here today!
?? Lol
Jan 13, 2020 17:38:49 GMT -5
Jan 13, 2020 17:38:49 GMT -5
May 1, 2022 14:04:40 GMT -5
May 1, 2022 14:04:40 GMT -5
