8-5-2 I believe...
FRIDAY GAME
FRESNO STATE AT BOISE STATE +3
quite a year for the bulldogs, whose only loss was close at minnesota in week 2, having won/covered 7 straight since by a total score of 271-77 (38.6-11). they're 6-0-1 ats of late as road chalk, 9-2 ats away off 10+ ats wins and 12-1-1 ats vs league foes. since september fsu has outgained opponents by 122 yds/game, while boise st's stats are down 90 yds/game since then. 'dogs also have revenge motivation, after losing 17-14 in last yr's mwc title game. fsu has covered the last 4 games in this series, but all as a dog, not as a favorite, and certainly not as a road favorite; the broncos have not been a home dog in 18 years. that is the stat i'm circling here... boise state.
WSATURDAY GAMES
WISCONSIN AT PENN STATE -9
2 teams not where they thought they'd be at this point of the season. nitts have won/covered last 3 vs the badgers, and have done well at home vs big 10 foes (17-8-1 ats) and uw has not played well away from madison this year, plus qb alex hornibrook got dinged last week at rutgers. uw coach paul chryst is 40-10 su, and only 3 of those losses have been by 7+, and his team still has a shot at the big 10 west crown. 9 is too much... wisconsin.
LOREGON AT UTAH -4
utes gave up big play after big play in a 38-20 loss at arizona st. last week, and lost their qb to a broken collarbone. but utah is still tied for 1st in the pac-12 south. uo has been out-statted in each of its last 4 games, including the 42-21 win vs ucla last week. and the ducks are 0-7 ats lately after a win by 21/more. but that missing qb... oregon.
LMISSISSIPPI STATE AT ALABAMA -24
tide has won 10 straight in this series, going 6-4 ats. in '17 msu caught alabama a little dinged up and kept it close (24-31). both tua and hurts are still hurting some, so fate could play a role here. the bulldog d (allowed just 5 td's the last 8 weeks) vs the tide o (scored 62 td's this season) is pretty appealing, but alabama's d locked down 1 dimensional lsu (196 yds) and msu's offense is similar, even w/qb fitzgerald being a better run option. msu is 13-7 ats as +10/more dogs, but alabama is 20-6 ats as -20/more chalk vs sec foes, but just 4-6 ats as home favorites of late. back door cover... mississippi state.
PTCU AT WEST VIRGINIA -12.5
frogs 16-7 ats as road dogs, 12-2 ats getting 10+. wvu hangover after gutsy 2 pt conversion to upset texas? 'eers just 1-5 ats after playing the 'horns, 1-7ats off back/back su/ats wins. tcu.
LCLEMSON AT BOSTON COLLEGE +20
tigers have won/covered their last 4 games (combined score; 240-36). but bc is 8-1 ats w/acc revenge, 7-3 ats as home dogs of 14+. cfb nerd stat alert; unbeaten teams 9-0 or better, as road chalk of 6+ off a su/ats win, are 14-36 ats. boston college.
PTEXAS AT TEXAS TECH +2
normally I'd fade texas after that emotional loss, but they have revenge here from last yr, the visitor has covered 4 straight in this series, and tech's starting qb suffered a collapsed lung vs oklahoma. texas.
WWASHINGTON STATE AT COLORADO +6
last week the cougars survived cal w/a 10 yd td pass in the last 1:00. cu started 5-0 but has now dropped 4 in a row. buffs are also just 7-14-1 ats as home dogs of late, while wsu is 4-0 ats on the road this yr. washington state.
WFLORIDA STATE AT NOTRE DAME -17.5
both teams will have back ups at qb tomorrow. irish have struggled as home chalk (6-10 ats) and is 2-9 ats when .800+ vs acc opponents. roles have been awful, but even losing to nc state by 19 last week, still outgained them by 28. taking a chance on a backdoor cover. florida state.
LAUBURN AT GEORGIA -14
I hear these 2 have played a few times before.
dawgs off 2 impressive wins; au is also off 2 wins tho last week put just 19 yds rushing vs texas a&m. tigers are just 8-18 ats as road dogs, 4-9 ats/3-10 su in this series. 2 td's a lot to give, but... georgia.
WOKLAHOMA STATE AT OKLAHOMA -20
sooners were superb on offense, shaky on d, per normal, in slipping by texas tech. cowboys blew a 10+ 4th qtr lead to baylor. losing w/0:07 left. ou leads the bedlam series 87-18-7 (in the last century more men have been president than okie state's 18 wins. but... sooners are just 6-39 ats as -10+ faves when they allow 27/more in a game. Tosu is 6-1 ats getting 18+. oklahoma state.
WOHIO STATE AT MICHIGAN STATE +3.5
bucks are certainly due to put a game together, and haven't lost in east lansing since '99. but they've allowed 457 yds/game the last 5 weeks. visitor is 7-2 su/ats in th series. party is stout vs run (72 yds/game) but just decent vs pass. if Haskins can handle the wind (expected 16 mph, making wind chill just 23) that would be the difference. a shaky shivering nod to ohio state.
WKENTUCKY AT TENNESSEE +6
have to go back 40 yrs since uk was giving points to the vols in knoxville, at neyland stadium. tennessee is 0-5 ats as home dogs and is giving up 204/game rushing to sec foes this year. I think a lot of folks from lexington will make the short drive down I-75 and be happy they did. kentucky.
LSOUTH CAROLINA AT FLORIDA -6.5
I was surprised at bf's listless performance vs mizzou, while the gamecocks have been competitive every week for nearly 2 months. South Carolina.
WCINCINNATI AT SOUTH FLORIDA +14
uc 's the better team, but they may be peaking ahead to uff next week. south florida.
W
dawgs off 2 impressive wins; au is also off 2 wins tho last week put just 19 yds rushing vs texas a&m. tigers are just 8-18 ats as road dogs, 4-9 ats/3-10 su in this series. 2 td's a lot to give, but... georgia. W
