WEEK 8“Also, let's not forget - let's NOT forget, - that keeping wildlife, an amphibious rodent, for uh, domestic, you know, within the city - that ain’t legal either.”
‘What are you, a f-ing park ranger now?’
“No, I'm...”
“Who gives a shit about the f-ing marmot!”ALL SATURDAY GAMES1. #14
SYRACUSE (6-0)
@ #5 CLEMSON (7-0)
-13.5since '14 clemson is 56-1 su at death valley-sc. the only loss? to syracuse in '16. the orange is 4-1 ats the last 5 in this series, though cu has won the last 4 su. tigers are 5-7 ats as home chalk since '20. syracuse is 6-4 ats getting pts on the road since '20, but this is just their 2nd road game this year. clemson is better in every category, but for some reason the 'cuse has been cryptonite against them. syracuse
2. KANSAS (5-2)
@
BAYLOR (3-3)
-7.5tough spot for ku, off back/back losses to tcu & oklahoma (they're 2-16 ats after playing the sooners). baylor lost their starting qb blake shapen last week in the ot loss at wvu but his backup kyron jones played well. the jayhawks haven't recovered from losing their qb jalon daniels 2 weeks ago. bears are 7-3 ats as home chalk of late and have won/covered 10 straight in this series. make it 11. baylor.
3. #9
UCLA (6-0)
@ #10 OREGON (5-1)
-6bruins enter this one as the pac-12's last unbeaten, and they've looked not just improved but physical so far. ducks have won 3 straight in the series, but are 0-4 ats vs foes w/triple revenge. ucla is 6-1 ats as a dog of 6/less, and (cfb nerd stat alert) since 1980, 6-0 dogs are 17-5-1 ats vs opponents off a 10+ win. boys from westwood continue their wizardry.
4.
PURDUE (5-2)
@ WISCONSIN (4-2)
-2wisconsin's record is actually 3-4. badgers have won 12 of the last 15 in this series, but the boilers have covered 3 straight at camp randall. I lost some serious $$ on uw last week, when they put up just 283 yds of offense in a shocking 34-28 2ot loss at michigan st. purdue's defense has been good vs the run so far in '22, allowing just 100 yds/game. I think that continues here. purdue.
5. #7
OLE MISS (7-0)
@ LSU (5-2)
-1.5both the tigers and rebels still control their sec west destinies. home team is 7-2 su/8-1 ats in the series of late. hard to believe a lane kiffin team has been winning games via ground attack, but ol' miss is averaging 271 yds/game rushing (3rd best in fbs), not encouraging for a lsu run d that's allowed 263 to tennessee and 210 in lsat week's win at florida. the rebels also have 19 qb sacks so far this season; an injury-riddled tiger o-line has given up 22. unbeatens getting points this time of year is usually profitable too. mississippi.
6. #20
TEXAS (5-2)
@ #11 OKLAHOMA STATE (5-1)
+6.5a likely big 12 ccg elimination game; both teams here have 1 league loss, trailing k-state and tcu (both 3-0). cowboys are 13-5 ats at home off a loss, 4-1 ats as home dogs lately, 9-2 ats since '18 as big 12 dogs. problem is there are rumors that qb spencer sanders has an injured throwing arm. plus it's no rumor osu's defense is giving up nearly 500 yds/game. the trends all lean toward okie state, but texas has the talent, a better defense, and survived the red river rivalry hangover by hanging on to beat iowa st last week. hook 'm.
7.
BOISE STATE (4-2)
@ AIR FORCE (5-2)
-3last yr the falcons broke a 4 game losing streak vs bsu with a 24-17 upset. now the broncos come in looking for an upset. bsu is giving up just 101/game rushing and off a bye week for extra prep to defend the air force option attack which ran for 406 in a 42-7 win at unlv. boise is 0-6 ats w/revenge vs .500+ foes, but 3-0 ats getting points vs league opponents. boise state.
8. #24
MISSISSIPPI STATE (5-2)
@ #6 ALABAMA (6-10
-21horrible story out of starkville... 18 yr old frosh o-lineman sam westmoreland was found dead earlier today. prayers to his family and his team. sometimes an event like that can be devastating when it comes to playing a game, sometimes it's inspiring. the bulldogs will have their hands full w/bryce young, who threw for 455/2 td's in knoxville last week. alabama has won 14 straight in this series (10-4 ats), and you'd think the trend would be to back 'bama off a loss. but the tide d has shown some holes this year vs quality foes, and is actually 0-5 ats of late in home games vs fbs foes when off a loss. msu looked awful in a 27-17 defeat at uk but they're 3-0 ats off a 10+ loss. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) since 1982, conference chalk of 10+ in game 7+ off their first loss as a -7+ favorite are just 1-15 ats vs .333+ opponents off a su loss. mississippi state.
9.
MINNESOTA (4-2)
@ #16 PENN STATE (5-1)
-4entering last week, psu had allowed just 399 yds total to opponents on the ground. michigan ran for 418 on them. now they face minnesota's mohammed ibrahim, who's averaging 139/game. gophers were dominated at illinois as well (26-14 loss, outgained 472-180), but they're 4-1 ats of late as road dogs. under james franklin, the nitts are just 8-23 ats off a su loss, have tosu up next, and are just 9-8 su (I believe) in their annual white out games. minnesota.
10. CENTRAL FLORIDA (5-1)
@
EAST CAROLINA (4-3)
+5from whiteout in state college to a blackout game in greenville. ucf has won 8 of the last 9 but ecu has covered the last 3. knights put up 737 total yds in a 70-13 blowout of temple last week, while the pirates sweated out a 47-45 4ot win over memphis. central fla is a strong 16-9-1 ats as road chalk of late, but they're 0-4 ats prior to playing cincinnati, who's beaten them 3 straight years. ecu is 10-3 ats as dogs of 4+ vs .500+ opponents. east carolina.
11. #17
KANSAS STATE (5-1)
@ #8 TEXAS CHRISTIAN (6-0)
-3.5tcu stayed unbeaten in style coming from 2 tds down to beat oklahoma st in double ot last week. but the number of trends going against them this week is a tall list. the horned frogs are 2-7-1 ats in big 12 games, 2-7 ats as favorites of 7/less, 1-6 ats at home vs a big 12 opponent who's off a bye. and that's not all. k-state has covered 4 straight vs tcu, is 5-1 ats the last 6 games at tcu, 10-1-1 ats vs league foes playing w/revenge. the wildcats also have the much better defense. upset alert. kansas state.
12. #21
CINCINNATI (5-1)
@ SOUTHERN METHODIST (3-3)
+3since '19, the bearcats have won 18 straight aac games. impressive. this year despite losing a ton of talent on d, uc is still holding opponents to 313 yds/game and has 23 sacks so far. they're off a bye after a poor performance (28-24 win over usf) where their qb was hurt. but they're 5-1 su/4-2 ats vs the mustangs of late, who are 1-4 ats vs opponents who are off a bye, and 2-5 ats as league home dogs. cincinnati.
13. #25
TULANE (6-1)
@ MEMPHIS (4-3)
+7.5kudos to the green wave, who are in the top 25 for the first time since they went unbeaten back in '98. tulane is 5-1 ats as aac faves of 8/less, 5-1 ats in home games (this one's in new orleans, not tennessee). the tigers are 0-8 ats as league road dogs, 0-4 ats before a bye, and the host in this series is 5-1 ats. tulane.
14. LIBERTY (6-1)
@
BRIGHAM YOUNG (4-3)
+72 weeks ago the mormons took on the catholics. this weekend, it's the evangelicals. both teams have battled injury woes, but liberty has had 4 different qb's take snaps this season w/the top 2 out for the season. byu is actually the road team in this one... the cougars have played the 19th toughest schedule in fbs to date, the flames 124th. byu.
15. TOLEDO (5-2)
@
BUFFALO (4-3)
+7.5love the bulls in this spot. buffalo is 12-4-1 ats as home dogs, 5-1 ats vs the rockets, 8-0-1 ats vs opponents off a su/ats win, and (cfb nerd stat alert) home dogs off 4 su/ats wins are 20-4 ats vs foes off back/back wins. buffalo.