WEEK 8“I had another idea. I think we should have some plays. You know, usually in football you have some organized plays.”
“If you don't mind, I took the liberty.”
“Oh, you have!?”
“I drew up about seven or eight plays. I figure that's about all this bunch can handle.”
“Oh, these are good. These are very good. Uh, what are these little arrows?”omg! they shot him!
69... is divine! 69... is divine! lmao. one of the great satire comedies of all time. it also featured a particular word, I believe, for the 1st time ever in a mainstream rated american film...
FUN FACTS: BOTH ARMY AND NAVY ARE UNDEFEATED, RANKED, AND BOTH ARE MULTI-SCORE FAVORITES IN THEIR GAMES THIS WEEK. MEANWHILE VANDERBILT…YES…VANDERBILT, IS A 26 POINT FAVORITE IN THEIR GAME. NEXT THING YOU KNOW DOGS AND CATS WILL BE SLEEPING TOGETHER!
FRIDAY1.
OKLAHOMA STATE (3-3) AT #13 BYU (6-0) -9.5
cougars are unbeaten, but the score in their win over arizona (41-19) was much more impressive than their performance (only outgained 'zona by 9 yds). cowboys are 6-1 su/ats off a bye, 10-3 ats off a home loss of 14+, 18-9 ats off back/back losses. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 6-0 teams vs opponents off a su favorite loss are 0-10 ats since 2010. I'm taking mike gundy's okie state, because he's a man! he's 40!!
SATURDAY2.
AUBURN (2-4) AT #19 MISSOURI (5-1) -4.5
the question for war eagle is, can they hold onto the ball? -11 in turnover ratio has decimated great efforts that turned into close losses so far in '24. mizzou is 0-9 ats vs teams off a bye, 2-10 ats off a su/ats win vs opponents off a su/ats loss. auburn.
3.
NEBRASKA (5-1) AT #16 INDIANA (6-0) -6.5
a month ago 'win-diana' beat ucla in pasadena. that was the 2nd time iu had ever played in that stadium; the only other time, the '68 rose bowl following the '67 season, was the last time the hoosiers were 6-0. they've also covered all 6 games this season, albeit vs foes w/a combined record of 9-27. u-n-l is just 2-6 ats off a bye week, while iu is 12-2 ats off a su/ats win and 11-2 ats off a win of 10+, but the huskers are also 7-2-1 ats as road dogs the last 3+ yrs. nebraska.
4.
VIRGINIA (4-2) AT #10 CLEMSON (5-1) -21.5
clemson is another team who's feasted on not so hot foes (10-21) since the opening game beat down from uga. road team has covered 4 straight in this series, and the cavaliers are 7-0 ats as 10+ acc road dogs while the tigers are just 1-6 as conference home chalk. wahoos under the number.
5. #6 MIAMI (6-0) AT
LOUISVILLE (4-2) +4.5
canes have been very fortunate the last couple games, pulling out last second wins over va tech and cal. they're also just 2-8 ats the last 10 games after a bye. cardinals are 11-5 ats as a dog. 'ville.
6.
ARIZONA STATE (5-1) AT CINCINNATI (4-2) -6.5
not many pundits saw uc 4-2 halfway thru the season, but this is too many points to give, especially when the bearcats are 2-9-1 ats at nippert stadium of late. asu has 4 su wins as underdogs since the beginning of '23.
7.
SOUTH CAROLINA (3-3) AT OKLAHOMA (4-2) -1.5
after their worst loss in nearly 20 yrs, you'd think ou would be a lock here; the sooners are 14-2 ats off a dog loss. but w/2 qb's playing well below standards, and 5 top wr's either out or questionable still this week, it's no guarantee. oklahoma's defense remains very good, but so is carolina's, who also has had the better offense. south carolina.
8. #7 ALABAMA (5-1) AT #11
TENNESSEE (5-1) +3
last time these 2 got together at neyland, the vols broke a 15 game losing streak vs the tide w/a 52-49 win. both teams have struggled the last couple weeks, and both were fortunate to win last saturday. alabama's had a solid offense but a struggling d, tennessee had had the opposite. the trends? 5-1 dogs of +7/less off a win preceded by a loss are 14-2 ats since 1980, and b-o-w-o is 9-1 su/ats when both teams are off a su win/ats loss. rocky top.
9. #24 MICHIGAN (4-2) AT #22
ILLINOIS (5-1) +3.5
amazingly, the illini also qualify for that 5-1 home dog stat above, as well as 8-3-1 ats at home vs .666/better opponents. um is 0-3 ats off a 10+ loss, 3-8-1 ats off a bye, and 0-3 ats the last 3 vs illinois. illinois.
10. #12 NOTRE DAME (5-1) AT
GEORGIA TECH (5-2) +11.5
Irish looking for 5th straight win after upset loss to no. illinois, but the nd medical list is growing, losing 3 o-linemen, 2 d-ends and their best cb. the yellow jackets took $$ out of my pocket last week, when rb jamal haynes ran 68 yds for a game winning td w/0:11 left. notre dame is 14-2 ats vs acc opponents, but ga tech is 7-2 ats vs ranked teams and 4-1 ats as home dogs. ramblin' wrecks.
11. JAMES MADISON (5-1) AT
GEORGIA SOUTHERN (4-2) +9.5
in '23 jmu had a misleading 40-13 blowout over the eagles, since they only outgained them by 16 yds but were +3 in turnovers. georgia southern.
12. #8 LSU (5-1) AT
ARKANSAS (4-2) +2.5
made some $$ on the bayou bengals getting pts in death valley w/that ot win over ol' miss, but I think this is a tough spot for lsu. hogs are 4-1-1 ats the last 6 in this series, 8-1 ats vs ranked foes, 6-1 ats w/double revenge and 20-9-1 ats as underdogs w/9 outright upset wins. lsu is just 1-7 ats vs double revenge, 2-5 ats the last 7 as sec road chalk. soo-eeeee!!
13. #5
GEORGIA (5-1) AT #1 TEXAS (6-0) -5
I was bitching this week about my buckeyes maybe having the 2 toughest road trips of the season (oregon, psu), but the dawgs certainly have an argument, having already visited tuscaloosa and tomorrow goes to austin. and like tosu, the longhorns have not exactly faced a full slate of high octane offenses this season. qb quinn ewers is just 1-3 su vs top 10 opponents, texas is 0-5 ats after playing oklahoma and is 1-5-1 ats as home faves of 7/less. the dawgs are 15-5 su vs unbeaten foes, 6-2 ats as underdogs, and (cfb nerd stat alert) .800+ dogs, off 3 ats losses including being favored by 1/more in the final ats loss, are 23-9 ats since 1980. love quality teams getting points. georgia.
14. #17
KANSAS STATE (5-1) AT WEST VIRGINIA (3-3) +3
ksu has won/covered the last 2 in the series and is 11-3 ats vs double revenge while the mountaineers are 1-3 ats playing w/double revenge. wvu runs the ball well, while the wildcats stop the run well. morgantown is a tough night environment but give me k-state.
15.
NORTH TEXAS (5-1) AT MEMPHIS (5-1) -11.5
there are 6 fbs teams putting up 500+ yds/game on offense. you might be surprised that one of them is north texas (I was). this is the best start for the mean green in nearly half a century. they're also 10-1 ats in the 2nd of back/back league road games. tigers are just 1-9 ats off a su/ats win, 3-7 ats as home conference chalk. north texas.
