“Anything wrong, Davy?”
“Yeah, I got paid today.”
“Yeah, I know what that's like.”
“No. You don't understand. They laid me off. I got one of these.”
“Yeah, I know how that feels.”
“Know what I'd like to do?”
"Yeah I know what you'd like to do. You'd like to find the guy who did it, rip his still beating heart out of his chest and hold it in front of his face so he can see how black it is before he dies.”
“Actually, I was thinking of filing a grievance with the union.”
“Well, the world's a twisted place.”no clue on the movie
WEEK 111. FLORIDA (4-4) AT #5
TEXAS (7-1) -21.5.
winwould've been pretty interesting in jacksonville last week had uf qb d.j. lagway not gone down w/the hamstring injury in the loss to uga, a game that began a november death march for the gators (dawgs, 'horns, lsu then ol' miss). this is the 1st game between these 2 in 84 years, pre ww2. ex-yale walk on aidan warner took over for lagway, and if d.j. isn't able to go that will spell trouble vs a texas d giving up just 240 yds/game. florida has covered all 3 road games this season, and is 6-3 ats as away dogs of 10+. but the longhorns are 10-3 ats off a bye week, and 4-1 ats as double digit home faves. big number but my eyes are on texas.
2.
MINNESOTA (6-3) AT RUTGERS (4-4) +6.
loss. sometimes it would help me if I actually read my own research re 3 decades since minnesota covered back/back big 10 games as road chalk. lolgophers took my $$ last week, covering as road chalk at illinois. you have to go back 30+ yrs I believe to find the last time minnesota covered/won back to back big 10 away games. they are 3-0 su vs state u of nj since they entered the league. rutgers is beat up on defense, a big reason why in their last 3 games they're allowing 40 pts and 490 yds/game. combine w/minnesota's 10-1 edge on turnovers in their 4 game win streak... golden gophers.
3. #4 MIAMI (9-0) AT
GEORGIA TECH (5-4) +11.
win. won a little $$ on this onecanes have had 2 breathers vs duke and fsu, coming after 3 nailbiters, 2 of them houdini-like escapes. imho they may need another magic trick in atlanta. in '23 5 turnovers, the 5th coming when a qb kneel would've run out the clock, sparked a 23-20 upset win for tech, who is 10-2 ats as a home dog vs a foe off a su/ats win, 9-1 ats off a 10+ loss. miami is 1-7 ats off a win vs opponents off a loss and 2-6 ats as acc road chalk of 14/less. I believe yellow jacket qb haynes king will return after missing the last 2, both blow out losses. should be a classic matchup when tech has the ball; the wreck's o-line have allowed just 4 sacks all year, while the u has wrecked the opposing qb 27 times. georgia tech.
4. #3 GEORGIA (7-1) AT #16
OLE MISS (7-2) +2.5.
win. see abovemust win for the rebels' cfb playoff hopes, and uga's path gets a lot rockier w/a loss. another classic los battle here; mississippi has 41 sacks, the dawgs have given up just 10. the rebs are 3-0 ats of late as home dogs, but georgia has owned this series of late (11-1 su, 8-4 ats). but I can't put out of my mind the disparity at qb; jaxson dart has been much steadier, occasionally spectacular, than carson beck, who's thrown 11 picks the last 5 games. and here's a nerd cfb stat alert for you; the last 6 times georgia has been a favorite of 6/less, the bulldogs are 1-5 ats. rolling the dice on ole' miss.
5. MICHIGAN (5-4) AT #8
INDIANA(9-0) -14.
loss. iu was very very lucky to win this. um defense played out of their minds in 2nd half, and their offense didn't back them up.in a magical season for iu, the next 2 games could reverse nightmare streaks vs um, then in 2 weeks vs tosu. since '68, indiana is 2-42 su vs the ugly hats and have been underdogs in all 44 games, winning 38-20 in the covid '20 season, and 14-10 way back in '87. in '24, the hoosiers' offense has been what the wolverines were a year ago. dominant, to tune of outgaining foes by 217 yds/game (only ol' miss and miami are better) and not just winning every game but the only team in the country who's also covered every game. but this is their 1st game vs a team w/pedigree, even w/um scuffling after their title season. michigan has not been this big an underdog in a decade (+21 at columbus, where they covered but lost 42-28). they're 6-1 ats as a .500+ team when getting 9+ pts off a loss. the problem is this is just their 3rd away game in '24, and they're averaging 12 pts/game away from the big house. I'm wondering if last week's loss to oregon was a kind of final gasp. honestly can't believe I'm going against um in back to back weeks getting 2 td's. indiana, our indiana, indiana, I'm all for you. lol.
6. #25 ARMY (8-0) AT
NORTH TEXAS (5-3) +5.5.
losshave a bad feeling for the cadets this week. chandler morris is by far the best qb they will have faced this yr (2863 yds, 26 td's, 8 int, #4 qb in the country). the mean green is off a bye, giving them an extra week to prep for army's triple option, which may or may not feature injured qb bryson daily, who was out last week. ntu is also 7-3-1 ats as home dogs vs .700+ opponents. plus could the west pointers be looking ahead to notre dame in 2 weeks? north texas
7. #23
CLEMSON (6-2) AT VIRGINIA TECH (5-4) +6.5.
win both come in off an upset loss, and clemson now needs help (a loss by miami and/or smu) to make the acc title game. the hokies starting qb and top rb missed last week and are still questionable for saturday. clemson
8. #17 IOWA STATE (7-1) AT
KANSAS (2-6) +3.
wincyclones got upset last week by tx tech on a last second td, 23-22, and have double revenge after 2 close losses the last 2 yrs to ku. isu is 13-6-1 ats off a loss, and with this game actually being not in lawrence but down the road at arrowhead stadium in kc, that may take away the home crowd edge. kansas also is giving up 450 yds/game on defense. but they're 5-1 ats as home dogs, and teams off their 1st loss of the season have a tendency to struggle. upset alert... kansas
9. SAN JOSE STATE (5-3) AT
OREGON STATE (4-4) -3
lossbeavers are off a bye and off 3 straight losses, the last being a blow out to cal. san jose st has a solid pass attack, but a porous defense. osu-west is 16-1 su/13-4 ats at home of late. oregon st.
10. #20
COLORADO (6-2) AT TEXAS TECH (6-3) +3.5.
winlong way to go, but if the big 12 has just 1 rep in the playoffs, the networks would love it to be cu, and they have a shot. red raiders enter off the upset win over iowa st as I mentioned above. buffaloes are off a bye week and are riding a 5-1 su/6-0 ats streak. colorado is also 7-1 ats off a bye. colorado.
11.
SOUTH CAROLINA (5-3) AT VANDERBILT (6-3) +3.5.
winimho these 2 teams are what tip the scales for the sec as being the deepest league in cfb this yr. both have been a blast to watch. a lot of firsts for the commodores; 1st time since '55 they have wins over the tide and war eagle in the same season, they've already become bowl eligible and tripled their wins over last season. but that 17-7 win at auburn came despite being outgained by over 100 yds. not a good sign, especially w/the run game the gamecocks have. usc-east has won 15 straight over vandy, and I say they make it 16. south carolina
12. #11 ALABAMA (6-2) AT #15
LSU (6-2) +3.
loss. see minnesota above. lol. lsu had issues w/running qb. millroe ran for 185. smhthe winner here stays alive for both the sec title game and the playoffs. tigers have had issues w/running qb's lately, and have allowed nearly 500 yds on the ground in their last 2 games (losses to south carolina and tx a&m). in '23 jalen milroe ran for 155 on them. hm. but the tide is just 1-4 ats off a shutout win and lsu is 6-1 ats off a 14+ loss. I also think the tigers are a little better on both offense and defense. lsu in a mild upset.
13.
OKLAHOMA (5-4) AT #24 MISSOURI (6-2) +3. (walt, I believe mizzou is the favorite here, not ou).
loss. that 4th qtr was the most bizarre finish in cfb this yearneither team has had a lot of results from their offenses this season. the sooners ar 11-2 ats in their last 13 games as an underdog. they've also dominated this series when both were in the big 12, plus tiger qb brady cook remains banged up, while oklahoma's wr's are healing up. plus, w/games vs 'bama and lsu after this one, ou really needs a win to get bowl eligible, which is important. their offense needs the reps (sorry harry. lol). sooners.
14.
WASHINGTON (5-4) AT #6 PENN STATE (7-1) -13.5.
inpressive bounce back by the nittsnitts get their white out night game, a week later than everyone in happy valley wanted. that kickoff time might actually help out the huskies, whose last 2 road games (16-40 at iowa, 17-31 at indiana) were both noon et starts. uw and psu both have solid defenses. that said, the nitts are 0-5 ats at home after a loss to the buckeyes. too many points. washington.
15. #9 BYU (8-9) AT
UTAH (4-4) +3.5.
win. talk about another bizarre finish. byu gets sacked on 4th down to end the game and defensive holding keeps them alive for a game winning fgholy war #102 in salt lake city. 8-0 byu leads the big 12 and is a rare road favorite in this series, a year where the utes have fallen apart (4 straight losses) missing qb cam rising for the remainder of the season. like michigan this year, utah's defense has been valiant but the offense has been offensive. still, the utes are 9-1 ats as a dog in this series, 4-2 ats off a bye, and an amazing 20-2-1 ats off a su/ats loss. upset by utah.
