“ I told you you'd get into trouble. It's because you don't know how manage anything. I should know - I'm your accountant.”
“If you're my accountant, how come I need money?”
“If you need money, how come you play poker?”
“'Cause I need money.”
“But you always lose.”
“That's why I need the money.”
“Then don't play poker.”
“Then don't come to my house and eat my potato chips.”man I've got to start getting to blockbuster more often.
. no clue.
WEEK 12ALL GAMES SATURDAY
1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT
ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
hogs were competitive vs a&m and upsetting the vols, but got drilled by lsu and the rebels. arkansas is 1-9 ats in its last 10 home games, but 5-2 ats off a bye plus they get qb taylen green back off an injury. even though ut blew out the gators, uf's 2 rb's rushed for nearly 200 yds combined. plus texas is 2-5 ats vs teams off a bye, and 4-9 ats in league road games of late. razorbacks hang around.
2. #20
CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
after starting the season 7-0, the panthers have lost both 2 games and 1 starting qb. tigers still have acc title hopes, and they're good in november; 28-9-1 ats under dabo. clemson
3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17
COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
under normal circumstances I'd be all over the utes, who are great underdogs (an amazing 10-0 ats since '14 getting 7+ pts). but last week they lost their 3rd qb of the season for the season. like michigan, utah's defense is game but their offense is weary. cu's sanders is hitting 73% of his passes w/24 td's vs 6 picks, the buffs' defense is improved too. I think this one gets ugly. colorado.
4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT
NAVY (7-2) +7
the green wave brings a 7 game win streak to annapolis and is 12-3 ats of late as road chalk. but the middies are 7-2-1 ats as home dogs. lean to navy
5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT
ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
sparty is actually 3-1 as road dogs in '24, coming within a fg in ann arbor of being 4-0. but they haven't had a sack in 5 weeks. the illini have been outgained in 3 srtaight games, but they're 4-0 ats off a bye week. illinois
6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT
CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
1st mtg since '68 and just the 3rd all time. 'cuse qb kyle mccord has been good but has tossed 12 picks. cal leads the nation in interceptions w/17, and they're better than their record suggests, w/their 4 losses coming by a total of 9 pts. the orange is also 2-10 ats as road dogs lately. golden bears.
7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT
FLORIDA (4-5) +4
both teams got blown out last week, but lsu can still make the sec title game, and they're 10-2 ats off back/back losses. but the gators are 6-1 ats as sec home dogs, 7-3 ats w/revenge. plus qb d.j. lagway is supposed to be back. have you heard that the tigers have their issues w/running qb's? florida covers in a game that goes down to the wire.
8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14
SMU (8-1) -19.5
mustangs out for revenge after a 23-14 loss in the frigid fenway bowl to bc. this year the eagles defense is struggling down the stretch, allowing 441 yds/game in the last 4. plus they had some qb drama; starter thomas castellanos was pulled last week for grayson james. they only threw for 65 ydsin a 37-31 win over syracuse, but james was named the starter for this week, and castellanos quit the team. hm. smu is 8-2 ats of late as home favorites, 7-1 ats when favored by 13+ in dallas. southern methodist.
9.
NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
it's been 8 yrs since the huskers went bowling. they've had 3 straight shots for win #6, losing all 3. I think this might finally be the week. trojans' 5 losses have been by a total of just 19 pts. but lincoln riley is just 4-15 ats as a head coach off back/back losses, 1-6 ats in the last 7. usc is switching qb's too, to jayden maiava, but he'll be facing probably the best d-line in the big 10, plus usc's defense is allowing 440 yds/game in the last 4. nebraska covers, and probably loses late dramatically.
10. #23
MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
after 3 qtrs last week, mizzou led oklahoma 10-9. w/2:00 left, they were behind 23-16 but got a td drive then a scoop and score for an improbable 30-23 win despite gaining just 278 yds. you could make an argument that the gamecocks have been the best team in the sec the last 4 weeks. but they are 1-11 ats at home w/revenge vs .500+ foes. I think 2 td's is 1 td too many. usc-east has not been a double digit favorite vs a sec team not named vanderbilt in at least 15 years. missouri.
11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16
KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
last week asu slipped by ucf 35-31 despite being outgained 406-260, thx to a blocked punt and an interception both returned for td's. wildcats had a bye week to stew over losing to houston 24-19 despite outgaining uh 327-232. that combo is a huge lean to k-state. the sun devils are an impressive 10-5-1 ats as road dogs since '20, but just 1-2 ats this yr. ksu counters w/a 13-3 ats record vs big 12 foes since '20, and 9-3 ats as home chalk of 10/less, and 4-1 ats off a loss as an away favorite. they also have the superior run game and much better special teams unit. plus arizona st's 0-4 ats in their last 4 late season road trips to chilly venues. give me the little apple.
12. #13
BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
the broncos struggled to put away nevada last week (28-21), while the spartans pulled off a mild upset at oregon st, results that I think are giving boise some line value here. san jose is passing for 332/game, but bsu has a front 7 w/39 sacks, 2nd best in the country, and they're also outgaining mwc opponents by 130 yds/game. boise st.
13. #7
TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
on the surface that looks like a pretty big line for this game, featuring 2 outstanding defenses and 2 offenses still searching for consistency. uga has absolutely owned this series, winning the last 7 by an average 26.5 pts, and covering the last 5. that said, qb carson beck's struggles have been well documented, and he was not good, again, in the dawgs' 28-10 loss to ol' miss, the 1st loss to a team other than alabama since '20. vols qb nico iamaleava is still 50-50 to play after going into concussion protocol this week. don't think tennessee has enough on offense to win, but their defense should be enough to keep this in single digits.
14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT
WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
on paper the badgers have no business flying w/the ducks at camp randall saturday night. offense has melted for 5 straight weeks (52 pts, then 42, then 23, then 13, then 10), they come in off a bye after back/back losses to psu/iowa by a combined 47 pts, and the qb play has been increasingly atrocious, while #1 uo is outgaining foes by 163 yds/game, is 7-1 ats as league road chalk of 8+. but madison at night is a different animal, and uw is 4-1 ats getting 14+ at home, which hasn't happened often recently. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 10-0 cfb road league favorites vs .555+ opponents are 3-21-1 ats since 1996. bucky badger makes the duck sweat some.
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT
NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5
1st of all, kudos to the cougars, who began the year jilted at the altar by the pac 12 who became the pac 2, and has leveraged that into a top 20 performance to date which includes a win over their main altar jilter, arch rival washington. that said, since '14 wsu is just 1-4 ats as double digit road chalk. the lobos are worse as 10+ home dogs of late (0-6-1 ats), but they may actually have the better offense. their defense is swiss cheese. the total is a high one, 72, which might get topped before the end of the 3rd qtr. I'll take a flyer on new mexico.
. no clue.
Re Wisky, it isn't 2010 and Wisky doesn't have 250 lb RBs any more w 5 guys on the line who end up playing on Sunday. 
But hope springs eternal and I'm hopeful I don't have to change the channel in the 2nd Q.
