WEEK 12

[Walter]

“ I told you you'd get into trouble. It's because you don't know how manage anything. I should know - I'm your accountant.”
“If you're my accountant, how come I need money?”
“If you need money, how come you play poker?”
“'Cause I need money.”
“But you always lose.”
“That's why I need the money.”
“Then don't play poker.”
“Then don't come to my house and eat my potato chips.”

WEEK 12

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7
5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4
8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5

[gatr55555]

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
2. PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
3. #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
4. NAVY (7-2) +7
5. ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
6. SYRACUSE (6-3) +8.5
7. FLORIDA (4-5) +4
8. #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
9. USC (4-5) -9
10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) +13.5
11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) +8.5
12. SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) +10
14. WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) -10.5

[nu5ncbigred]

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2)
3. #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
4. NAVY (7-2) +7
5. ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
6. CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
7. #22 LSU (6-3)
8. #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
9. NEBRASKA (5-4)
10. #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
11. #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1)
13. #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
14. #1 OREGON (10-0)
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1)

[CWGBuckeyes]

Texas

Pitt

Colorado

Tulane

Illinois

Cal

LSU

SMU

Nebraska

South Carolina

Kansas St

Boise St

Tennessee

Oregon

Washington St

[Mickey34jb]

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7
5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4
8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5

[cbisbig]

Hogs+13.5👍
Pitt+10👍
Buffs-11.5👍
Green wave-7👍
Illini-2.5👍
Orangemen+8.5👎
Tigers-4👎
Smu-19.5👎
Huskers+9👍
Mizzou+13.5👍
Jhawks-8.5👎
Spartons+13.5👎
Vols+10👎
Ducks-14👎
Cougars-10.5👎

[drjensen]

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5                                                     Loss
2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10                                Win
3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5                                        Win
4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7                                                               Loss
5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5                                   Win
6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5                                        Win
7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4                                                               Loss
8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5                                              Loss
9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9                                                       Win
10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5               Win
11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5                                Loss
12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5                   Win
13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10                                           Loss
14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14                                                 Loss
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5                        Loss

7-8

[mscott59]

Nov 13, 2024 23:32:45 GMT -5 Walter said:

“ I told you you'd get into trouble. It's because you don't know how manage anything. I should know - I'm your accountant.”
“If you're my accountant, how come I need money?”
“If you need money, how come you play poker?”
“'Cause I need money.”
“But you always lose.”
“That's why I need the money.”
“Then don't play poker.”
“Then don't come to my house and eat my potato chips.”

man I've got to start getting to blockbuster more often. . no clue.

WEEK 12

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
hogs were competitive vs a&m and upsetting the vols, but got drilled by lsu and the rebels. arkansas is 1-9 ats in its last 10 home games, but 5-2 ats off a bye plus they get qb taylen green back off an injury. even though ut blew out the gators, uf's 2 rb's rushed for nearly 200 yds combined. plus texas is 2-5 ats vs teams off a bye, and 4-9 ats in league road games of late. razorbacks hang around.

2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
after starting the season 7-0, the panthers have lost both 2 games and 1 starting qb. tigers still have acc title hopes, and they're good in november; 28-9-1 ats under dabo. clemson

3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
under normal circumstances I'd be all over the utes, who are great underdogs (an amazing 10-0 ats since '14 getting 7+ pts). but last week they lost their 3rd qb of the season for the season. like michigan, utah's defense is game but their offense is weary. cu's sanders is hitting 73% of his passes w/24 td's vs 6 picks, the buffs' defense is improved too. I think this one gets ugly. colorado.

4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7
the green wave brings a 7 game win streak to annapolis and is 12-3 ats of late as road chalk. but the middies are 7-2-1 ats as home dogs. lean to navy

5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
sparty is actually 3-1 as road dogs in '24, coming within a fg in ann arbor of being 4-0. but they haven't had a sack in 5 weeks. the illini have been outgained in 3 srtaight games, but they're 4-0 ats off a bye week. illinois

6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
1st mtg since '68 and just the 3rd all time. 'cuse qb kyle mccord has been good but has tossed 12 picks. cal leads the nation in interceptions w/17, and they're better than their record suggests, w/their 4 losses coming by a total of 9 pts. the orange is also 2-10 ats as road dogs lately. golden bears.

7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4
both teams got blown out last week, but lsu can still make the sec title game, and they're 10-2 ats off back/back losses. but the gators are 6-1 ats as sec home dogs, 7-3 ats w/revenge. plus qb d.j. lagway is supposed to be back. have you heard that the tigers have their issues w/running qb's? florida covers in a game that goes down to the wire.

8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
mustangs out for revenge after a 23-14 loss in the frigid fenway bowl to bc. this year the eagles defense is struggling down the stretch, allowing 441 yds/game in the last 4. plus they had some qb drama; starter thomas castellanos was pulled last week for grayson james. they only threw for 65 ydsin a 37-31 win over syracuse, but james was named the starter for this week, and castellanos quit the team. hm. smu is 8-2 ats of late as home favorites, 7-1 ats when favored by 13+ in dallas. southern methodist.

9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
it's been 8 yrs since the huskers went bowling. they've had 3 straight shots for win #6, losing all 3. I think this might finally be the week. trojans' 5 losses have been by a total of just 19 pts. but lincoln riley is just 4-15 ats as a head coach off back/back losses, 1-6 ats in the last 7. usc is switching qb's too, to jayden maiava, but he'll be facing probably the best d-line in the big 10, plus usc's defense is allowing 440 yds/game in the last 4. nebraska covers, and probably loses late dramatically.

10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
after 3 qtrs last week, mizzou led oklahoma 10-9. w/2:00 left, they were behind 23-16 but got a td drive then a scoop and score for an improbable 30-23 win despite gaining just 278 yds. you could make an argument that the gamecocks have been the best team in the sec the last 4 weeks. but they are 1-11 ats at home w/revenge vs .500+ foes. I think 2 td's is 1 td too many. usc-east has not been a double digit favorite vs a sec team not named vanderbilt in at least 15 years. missouri.

11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
last week asu slipped by ucf 35-31 despite being outgained 406-260, thx to a blocked punt and an interception both returned for td's. wildcats had a bye week to stew over losing to houston 24-19 despite outgaining uh 327-232. that combo is a huge lean to k-state. the sun devils are an impressive 10-5-1 ats as road dogs since '20, but just 1-2 ats this yr. ksu counters w/a 13-3 ats record vs big 12 foes since '20, and 9-3 ats as home chalk of 10/less, and 4-1 ats off a loss as an away favorite. they also have the superior run game and much better special teams unit. plus arizona st's 0-4 ats in their last 4 late season road trips to chilly venues. give me the little apple.

12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
the broncos struggled to put away nevada last week (28-21), while the spartans pulled off a mild upset at oregon st, results that I think are giving boise some line value here. san jose is passing for 332/game, but bsu has a front 7 w/39 sacks, 2nd best in the country, and they're also outgaining mwc opponents by 130 yds/game. boise st.

13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
on the surface that looks like a pretty big line for this game, featuring 2 outstanding defenses and 2 offenses still searching for consistency. uga has absolutely owned this series, winning the last 7 by an average 26.5 pts, and covering the last 5. that said, qb carson beck's struggles have been well documented, and he was not good, again, in the dawgs' 28-10 loss to ol' miss, the 1st loss to a team other than alabama since '20. vols qb nico iamaleava is still 50-50 to play after going into concussion protocol this week. don't think tennessee has enough on offense to win, but their defense should be enough to keep this in single digits.

14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
on paper the badgers have no business flying w/the ducks at camp randall saturday night. offense has melted for 5 straight weeks (52 pts, then 42, then 23, then 13, then 10), they come in off a bye after back/back losses to psu/iowa by a combined 47 pts, and the qb play has been increasingly atrocious, while #1 uo is outgaining foes by 163 yds/game, is 7-1 ats as league road chalk of 8+. but madison at night is a different animal, and uw is 4-1 ats getting 14+ at home, which hasn't happened often recently. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 10-0 cfb road league favorites vs .555+ opponents are 3-21-1 ats since 1996. bucky badger makes the duck sweat some.

15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5
1st of all, kudos to the cougars, who began the year jilted at the altar by the pac 12 who became the pac 2, and has leveraged that into a top 20 performance to date which includes a win over their main altar jilter, arch rival washington. that said, since '14 wsu is just 1-4 ats as double digit road chalk. the lobos are worse as 10+ home dogs of late (0-6-1 ats), but they may actually have the better offense. their defense is swiss cheese. the total is a high one, 72, which might get topped before the end of the 3rd qtr. I'll take a flyer on new mexico.

[CWGBuckeyes]

Nov 14, 2024 23:31:27 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Nov 13, 2024 23:32:45 GMT -5 Walter said:

“ I told you you'd get into trouble. It's because you don't know how manage anything. I should know - I'm your accountant.”
“If you're my accountant, how come I need money?”
“If you need money, how come you play poker?”
“'Cause I need money.”
“But you always lose.”
“That's why I need the money.”
“Then don't play poker.”
“Then don't come to my house and eat my potato chips.”

man I've got to start getting to blockbuster more often. . no clue.

WEEK 12

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
hogs were competitive vs a&m and upsetting the vols, but got drilled by lsu and the rebels. arkansas is 1-9 ats in its last 10 home games, but 5-2 ats off a bye plus they get qb taylen green back off an injury. even though ut blew out the gators, uf's 2 rb's rushed for nearly 200 yds combined. plus texas is 2-5 ats vs teams off a bye, and 4-9 ats in league road games of late. razorbacks hang around.

2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
after starting the season 7-0, the panthers have lost both 2 games and 1 starting qb. tigers still have acc title hopes, and they're good in november; 28-9-1 ats under dabo. clemson

3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
under normal circumstances I'd be all over the utes, who are great underdogs (an amazing 10-0 ats since '14 getting 7+ pts). but last week they lost their 3rd qb of the season for the season. like michigan, utah's defense is game but their offense is weary. cu's sanders is hitting 73% of his passes w/24 td's vs 6 picks, the buffs' defense is improved too. I think this one gets ugly. colorado.

4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7
the green wave brings a 7 game win streak to annapolis and is 12-3 ats of late as road chalk. but the middies are 7-2-1 ats as home dogs. lean to navy

5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
sparty is actually 3-1 as road dogs in '24, coming within a fg in ann arbor of being 4-0. but they haven't had a sack in 5 weeks. the illini have been outgained in 3 srtaight games, but they're 4-0 ats off a bye week. illinois

6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
1st mtg since '68 and just the 3rd all time. 'cuse qb kyle mccord has been good but has tossed 12 picks. cal leads the nation in interceptions w/17, and they're better than their record suggests, w/their 4 losses coming by a total of 9 pts. the orange is also 2-10 ats as road dogs lately. golden bears.

7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4
both teams got blown out last week, but lsu can still make the sec title game, and they're 10-2 ats off back/back losses. but the gators are 6-1 ats as sec home dogs, 7-3 ats w/revenge. plus qb d.j. lagway is supposed to be back. have you heard that the tigers have their issues w/running qb's? florida covers in a game that goes down to the wire.

8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
mustangs out for revenge after a 23-14 loss in the frigid fenway bowl to bc. this year the eagles defense is struggling down the stretch, allowing 441 yds/game in the last 4. plus they had some qb drama; starter thomas castellanos was pulled last week for grayson james. they only threw for 65 ydsin a 37-31 win over syracuse, but james was named the starter for this week, and castellanos quit the team. hm. smu is 8-2 ats of late as home favorites, 7-1 ats when favored by 13+ in dallas. southern methodist.

9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
it's been 8 yrs since the huskers went bowling. they've had 3 straight shots for win #6, losing all 3. I think this might finally be the week. trojans' 5 losses have been by a total of just 19 pts. but lincoln riley is just 4-15 ats as a head coach off back/back losses, 1-6 ats in the last 7. usc is switching qb's too, to jayden maiava, but he'll be facing probably the best d-line in the big 10, plus usc's defense is allowing 440 yds/game in the last 4. nebraska covers, and probably loses late dramatically.

10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
after 3 qtrs last week, mizzou led oklahoma 10-9. w/2:00 left, they were behind 23-17 but got a td drive then a scoop and score for an improbable 30-23 win despite gaining just 278 yds. you could make an argument that the gamecocks have been the best team in the sec the last 4 weeks. but they are 1-11 ats at home w/revenge vs .500+ foes. I think 2 td's is 1 td too many. usc-east has not been a double digit favorite vs a sec team not named vanderbilt in at least 15 years. missouri.

more later.

11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5

Just take the week off

[mscott59]

Nov 15, 2024 6:45:13 GMT -5 CWGBuckeyes said:

Nov 14, 2024 23:31:27 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Just take the week off

well, mike, it's nice to be in a position where I can honestly state I'm open to inducements.

[CWGBuckeyes]

Nov 15, 2024 14:57:01 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Nov 15, 2024 6:45:13 GMT -5 CWGBuckeyes said:

Just take the week off

well, mike, it's nice to be in a position where I can honestly state I'm open to inducements.

I'm gonna mount a comeback for the ages 😀

[oujour76]

TEXAS
CLEMSON
COLORADO
TULANE
ILLINOIS
CAL
LSU
SMU
NEBRASKA
SOUTH CAROLINA
ARIZONA STATE
BOISE STATE
GEORGIA
OREGON
WASHINGTON STATE

[daleko]

Nov 14, 2024 23:31:27 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Nov 13, 2024 23:32:45 GMT -5 Walter said:

“ I told you you'd get into trouble. It's because you don't know how manage anything. I should know - I'm your accountant.”
“If you're my accountant, how come I need money?”
“If you need money, how come you play poker?”
“'Cause I need money.”
“But you always lose.”
“That's why I need the money.”
“Then don't play poker.”
“Then don't come to my house and eat my potato chips.”

man I've got to start getting to blockbuster more often. . no clue.



14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
on paper the badgers have no business flying w/the ducks at camp randall saturday night. offense has melted for 5 straight weeks (52 pts, then 42, then 23, then 13, then 10), they come in off a bye after back/back losses to psu/iowa by a combined 47 pts, and the qb play has been increasingly atrocious, while #1 uo is outgaining foes by 163 yds/game, is 7-1 ats as league road chalk of 8+. but madison at night is a different animal, and uw is 4-1 ats getting 14+ at home, which hasn't happened often recently. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 10-0 cfb road league favorites vs .555+ opponents are 3-21-1 ats since 1996. bucky badger makes the duck sweat some.

Odd that you don't know that one. It's a classic w a couple of classic actors. Re Wisky, it isn't 2010 and Wisky doesn't have 250 lb RBs any more w 5 guys on the line who end up playing on Sunday. But hope springs eternal and I'm hopeful I don't have to change the channel in the 2nd Q.

[Walter]

WEEK 12

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7
5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4
8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5
[/quote]

[Walter]

Nov 14, 2024 23:31:27 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

Nov 13, 2024 23:32:45 GMT -5 Walter said:

“ I told you you'd get into trouble. It's because you don't know how manage anything. I should know - I'm your accountant.”
“If you're my accountant, how come I need money?”
“If you need money, how come you play poker?”
“'Cause I need money.”
“But you always lose.”
“That's why I need the money.”
“Then don't play poker.”
“Then don't come to my house and eat my potato chips.”

man I've got to start getting to blockbuster more often. . no clue.

WEEK 12

ALL GAMES SATURDAY

1. #3 TEXAS (8-1) AT ARKANSAS (5-4) +13.5
hogs were competitive vs a&m and upsetting the vols, but got drilled by lsu and the rebels. arkansas is 1-9 ats in its last 10 home games, but 5-2 ats off a bye plus they get qb taylen green back off an injury. even though ut blew out the gators, uf's 2 rb's rushed for nearly 200 yds combined. plus texas is 2-5 ats vs teams off a bye, and 4-9 ats in league road games of late. razorbacks hang around.

2. #20 CLEMSON (7-2) AT PITTSBURGH (7-2) +10
after starting the season 7-0, the panthers have lost both 2 games and 1 starting qb. tigers still have acc title hopes, and they're good in november; 28-9-1 ats under dabo. clemson

3. UTAH (4-5) AT #17 COLORADO (7-2) -11.5
under normal circumstances I'd be all over the utes, who are great underdogs (an amazing 10-0 ats since '14 getting 7+ pts). but last week they lost their 3rd qb of the season for the season. like michigan, utah's defense is game but their offense is weary. cu's sanders is hitting 73% of his passes w/24 td's vs 6 picks, the buffs' defense is improved too. I think this one gets ugly. colorado.

4. #25 TULANE (8-2) AT NAVY (7-2) +7
the green wave brings a 7 game win streak to annapolis and is 12-3 ats of late as road chalk. but the middies are 7-2-1 ats as home dogs. lean to navy

5. MICHIGAN STATE (4-5) AT ILLINOIS (6-3) -2.5
sparty is actually 3-1 as road dogs in '24, coming within a fg in ann arbor of being 4-0. but they haven't had a sack in 5 weeks. the illini have been outgained in 3 srtaight games, but they're 4-0 ats off a bye week. illinois

6. SYRACUSE (6-3) AT CALIFORNIA (5-4) -8.5
1st mtg since '68 and just the 3rd all time. 'cuse qb kyle mccord has been good but has tossed 12 picks. cal leads the nation in interceptions w/17, and they're better than their record suggests, w/their 4 losses coming by a total of 9 pts. the orange is also 2-10 ats as road dogs lately. golden bears.

7. #22 LSU (6-3) AT FLORIDA (4-5) +4
both teams got blown out last week, but lsu can still make the sec title game, and they're 10-2 ats off back/back losses. but the gators are 6-1 ats as sec home dogs, 7-3 ats w/revenge. plus qb d.j. lagway is supposed to be back. have you heard that the tigers have their issues w/running qb's? florida covers in a game that goes down to the wire.

8. BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4) AT #14 SMU (8-1) -19.5
mustangs out for revenge after a 23-14 loss in the frigid fenway bowl to bc. this year the eagles defense is struggling down the stretch, allowing 441 yds/game in the last 4. plus they had some qb drama; starter thomas castellanos was pulled last week for grayson james. they only threw for 65 ydsin a 37-31 win over syracuse, but james was named the starter for this week, and castellanos quit the team. hm. smu is 8-2 ats of late as home favorites, 7-1 ats when favored by 13+ in dallas. southern methodist.

9. NEBRASKA (5-4) AT USC (4-5) -9
it's been 8 yrs since the huskers went bowling. they've had 3 straight shots for win #6, losing all 3. I think this might finally be the week. trojans' 5 losses have been by a total of just 19 pts. but lincoln riley is just 4-15 ats as a head coach off back/back losses, 1-6 ats in the last 7. usc is switching qb's too, to jayden maiava, but he'll be facing probably the best d-line in the big 10, plus usc's defense is allowing 440 yds/game in the last 4. nebraska covers, and probably loses late dramatically.

10. #23 MISSOURI (7-2) AT #21 SOUTH CAROLINA (6-3) -13.5
after 3 qtrs last week, mizzou led oklahoma 10-9. w/2:00 left, they were behind 23-16 but got a td drive then a scoop and score for an improbable 30-23 win despite gaining just 278 yds. you could make an argument that the gamecocks have been the best team in the sec the last 4 weeks. but they are 1-11 ats at home w/revenge vs .500+ foes. I think 2 td's is 1 td too many. usc-east has not been a double digit favorite vs a sec team not named vanderbilt in at least 15 years. missouri.

11. ARIZONA STATE (7-2) AT #16 KANSAS STATE (7-2) -8.5
last week asu slipped by ucf 35-31 despite being outgained 406-260, thx to a blocked punt and an interception both returned for td's. wildcats had a bye week to stew over losing to houston 24-19 despite outgaining uh 327-232. that combo is a huge lean to k-state. the sun devils are an impressive 10-5-1 ats as road dogs since '20, but just 1-2 ats this yr. ksu counters w/a 13-3 ats record vs big 12 foes since '20, and 9-3 ats as home chalk of 10/less, and 4-1 ats off a loss as an away favorite. they also have the superior run game and much better special teams unit. plus arizona st's 0-4 ats in their last 4 late season road trips to chilly venues. give me the little apple.

12. #13 BOISE STATE (8-1) AT SAN JOSE STATE (6-3) +13.5
the broncos struggled to put away nevada last week (28-21), while the spartans pulled off a mild upset at oregon st, results that I think are giving boise some line value here. san jose is passing for 332/game, but bsu has a front 7 w/39 sacks, 2nd best in the country, and they're also outgaining mwc opponents by 130 yds/game. boise st.

13. #7 TENNESSEE (8-1) AT #12 GEORGIA (7-2) -10
on the surface that looks like a pretty big line for this game, featuring 2 outstanding defenses and 2 offenses still searching for consistency. uga has absolutely owned this series, winning the last 7 by an average 26.5 pts, and covering the last 5. that said, qb carson beck's struggles have been well documented, and he was not good, again, in the dawgs' 28-10 loss to ol' miss, the 1st loss to a team other than alabama since '20. vols qb nico iamaleava is still 50-50 to play after going into concussion protocol this week. don't think tennessee has enough on offense to win, but their defense should be enough to keep this in single digits.

14. #1 OREGON (10-0) AT WISCONSIN (5-4) +14
on paper the badgers have no business flying w/the ducks at camp randall saturday night. offense has melted for 5 straight weeks (52 pts, then 42, then 23, then 13, then 10), they come in off a bye after back/back losses to psu/iowa by a combined 47 pts, and the qb play has been increasingly atrocious, while #1 uo is outgaining foes by 163 yds/game, is 7-1 ats as league road chalk of 8+. but madison at night is a different animal, and uw is 4-1 ats getting 14+ at home, which hasn't happened often recently. plus (cfb nerd stat alert) 10-0 cfb road league favorites vs .555+ opponents are 3-21-1 ats since 1996. bucky badger makes the duck sweat some.

15. #18 WASHINGTON STATE (8-1) AT NEW MEXICO (4-6) +10.5
1st of all, kudos to the cougars, who began the year jilted at the altar by the pac 12 who became the pac 2, and has leveraged that into a top 20 performance to date which includes a win over their main altar jilter, arch rival washington. that said, since '14 wsu is just 1-4 ats as double digit road chalk. the lobos are worse as 10+ home dogs of late (0-6-1 ats), but they may actually have the better offense. their defense is swiss cheese. the total is a high one, 72, which might get topped before the end of the 3rd qtr. I'll take a flyer on new mexico.

Here's hint about the movie.

"I know him. He'll kill himself just to spite me. Then his ghost will come back, following me around the apartment, haunting and cleaning, haunting and cleaning, haunting and cleaning..."