Post by Walter on Sept 19, 2017 18:03:06 GMT -5
“Your training is not going well, man. I got a plan.”
“Thank God!”
“You’re gonna learn how to suck dick.”
“What? That’s your plan?”
“All I’m sayin’ is when life throws you dick, you make dickade.”
“Dickade doesn’t sound like a significant improvement over dick.”
Already at the 1/3 point in the year.
WEEK 4
All games are on Saturday, 23SEP17
Rankings noted are AP Poll rank
1. #17 MISSISSIPPI STATE (3-0) +6 at #11 GEORGIA (3-0) - [Opened UGA-6]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
Mississippi State embarrassed LSU last week and have won their first 3 games by a combined 143-28, primarily by running the ball. Georgia’s RunD so far has given up an avg. of just 71 ypg and held Notre Dame to 266 total yards. But UGA was also 4-18 in 3rd down conversions against the Irish and averaged less than 5 yds/pass play. I like the points.
MISSISSIPPI STATE
2. #20 FLORIDA (1-1) -3 at KENTUCKY (3-0) - [Opened UF-4]
Kentucky comes in undefeated, and off a win against Carolina, while the Gators bask in the glow of beating Tennessee. Kentucky didn’t show a lot of offense against USCe, gave up over 300 yards on the ground in RunD, but only 13 points. Florida’s O is still suspect but I think they have more than Kentucky.
FLORIDA.
3. #5PENN STATE (3-0) -12.5 at IOWA (3-0) - [Opened PSU -12.5]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
PennSt begins its conference schedule on the road against a team who is, like PSU, undefeated. However, in games that matter, Iowa squeaked by IowaSt. in OT and allowed ISU 347 yards passing while PSU beat Pitt in a rather workmanlike, “just the facts, m’am”, manner, leading 28-6 going into the 4th Q. PSU comes off a 56-0 scrimmage with GeorgiaSt. while Iowa actually trailed North Texas at the half last week. What does this all mean? I don’t see Iowa hanging with the Nits.
PENN STATE
4. #8MICHIGAN (3-0) -10 at PURDUE (2-1) - [Opened UM -10.5]
Michigan is undefeated, while Purdue’s only loss was to Louisville by a respectable 28-35, and they beat Mizzu 36-3 last week. Purdue lacks a potent running game while Michigan has allowed just 125 ypg in the air, so the Q is, where does Purdue get their O? Ah, but not so fast, my friends. Michigan only led Air Force 16-13 at the start of the 4th Q last week. And Purdue gets 10 at home. UM wins, but Purdue covers.
PURDUE
5. NOTRE DAME (2-1) -4.5 at MICHIGAN ST (2-0) – [Opened ND -4.5]
Notre Dame dominated the Catholic Bowl last week, beating BC 49-20, but then, MSU beat a Western Mich team that gave USC some trouble, crushing their offense in ways USC couldn’t. MSU comes off a bye week which helps their very young team work out whatever issues they’ve seen in the first two games, while the Irish play their second straight road game in two weeks. Home cooking prevails.
MICHIGAN STATE
6. #4USC (3-0) -16.5 at CALIFORNIA (3-0) - [Opened USC -15.5]
This should be an easy pick except for a few inconvenient truths. USC’s signature win this season, Stanford, was overturned last week by SanDiegoSt., and the Trojans needed heroics to win a game as a 16 point fav last week. Meanwhile, a team nobody thought much of went east and beat an ACC team and beat an SEC team at home last week. The line has gone up a point. I think it should come down. USC is beaten up; having lost or have as questionable, a whopping 18 players, 13 on the D.
CALIFORNIA
7. CENTRAL FLORIDA (1-0) +3.5 at MARYLAND (2-0) {Opened CF +3.5]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT! *
*Such as it is…
This is a fun one for what it is we don’t know. Central Florida hasn’t played in a while, but did beat up on FIU 61-17 to start the year. Maryland beat Texas on the road and then FIU lookalike, Towson at home 63-17, and then had a bye week last week. So both teams have had time to arm themselves for the other. Scott Frost is in his second season as HC at UCF and there were some expectations they’d be good after absorbing his system last year. They return 9 on offense. Meanwhile, Maryland has scored 114 points in two games. The O/U is 67.5. Should be a wild one, and I’m gotta roll with the half point.
CENTRAL FLORIDA
8. UCLA (2-1) +7.5 at STANFORD (1-2) -7.5 – [Opened Stanford -9.5]
Two teams looking for redemption after losing last week. It is evident that Stanford isn’t the Stanford we thought they were, while the Bruins…well, they are what we thought they were. The Bruins can’t run the ball terribly well, which has been the Achille’s Heel of Stanford’s D, but have proven to be a quick strike team with Rosen. Meanwhile, Stanford wants to run it all day, every day. Add in some injuries to the BruinD (8 total and 6 on D listed as out or questionable), robbing of them of depth and I think the TOP gets ugly for the Bruins.
STANFORD.
9. #22SAN DIEGO ST. (3-0) -3.5 at AIR FORCE (1-1) – [Opened SDSt -6]
San Diego State has burst into the top 25 with wins over two Pac12 teams in consecutive weeks. They lost Pomphrey to the NFL, but seemed to have plugged in version 2.0 in Rashaad Penny. Don’t look now, but SDSt was 11-3 last season, so this shouldn’t be that much of a surprise. Meanwhile, Air Force stayed with Michigan for 3 quarters last week even though they lost almost their entire D from last season. Add in their quirky offense and it’s enough to give SDSt some issues. Still, I think SDSt is better than a FG+.
SAN DIEGO ST.
10. #16TCU (3-0) +11.5 at #6OKLAHOMA ST. (3-0) – [Opened TCU+12.5]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
OKSt has shown they are for real this season, averaging 54 ppg in their first three. But TCU ain’t no slouch either, averaging 49 ppg. But neither has played a team as good as either of them so far this season. The O/U (70pts) does NOT see this as a defensive affair, however, and I’m expecting a see-saw game where 11.5 pts will be enough to cover, though in a losing cause.
TCU
11. #7WASHINGTON (3-0) -10.5 at COLORADO (3-0) [Opened UW -10]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
The Huskies travel to Boulder to face a Colorado team who hasn’t faced the likes of the Huskies yet this season, but UDub wasn’t particularly impressive in their only non-doormat game against Rutgers. Colorado proved no match for UW in the Pac12 Title game last year, but return nearly their entire offense. Washington lays 10.5 to the home dog. I’ll take it.
COLORADO
12. PITT (1-2) +7.5 at GEORGIA TECH (1-1) [Opened Pitt+7.5]
Pitt, Pitt, Pitt…what are we to make of this team? They have arguably played the toughest schedule in America the first 3 weeks, (so forgive us for letting a 1-2 record slide a bit), didn’t play that well, and now travel south to play GTech and that crazy O in their conference opener. Up until last week, GTech’s close loss to Tennessee was at least a little impressive. Now, not so much. I’m thinking Pitt is the better team, but hasn’t had the opportunity to show it, being overmatched by two top 5 caliber teams. And with a touchdown+ cushion?
PITTSBURGH
13. CINCINNATI (Extra bonus N this week, and 2-1) +11.5 at NAVY (2-0) [Opened Cin+10.5]
Another week when the Bearcats get points when I’m not certain they need them. They are healthy, and though they haven’t worn out the endzone grass with offense they beat Miami-O straight up. Navy comes off a bye week, and are theoretically way better than Miami-O, although they didn’t show it against Tulane at home last week, winning by 4. Gotta roll with the points.
CINCINNATI
14. NORTH CAROLINA ST. +11 (2-1) at #12FLORIDA STATE (0-1) [Opened NCSt +12.5]
This line moved pretty significantly in the past few days. FSU has, count ‘em, 8 players listed as questionable for the game, which I assume explains the line move. But NCState hasn’t beaten anyone yet that matters, and FSU, on paper, is a far better team. For FSU, a three week hiatus in the middle of the regular season is more like a bowl game scenario than the regular season, and so FSU has been able to get first team reps for a new QB against the defensive style he will likely be seeing. I’m thinking that matters.
FLORIDA STATE
15. DUKE (3-0) -2.5 at NORTH CAROLINA (1-2) [Opened Duke -2.5]
I just HAD to put this game on the list. Two bitter rivals in the wrong sport playing a game where the records are deceiving. Duke starts the season already with 75% of all the wins it got last season, but didn’t beat the spread against hapless Baylor, while the Tarheels have only a win over Old Dominion to show for the season, even though they’ve shown they can score, getting 30 and 35 against Cal and Louisville so far. My problem however, is that I’ve already gotten on the Duke offense bus. I think they outscore NC by better than 3.
DUKE
“Thank God!”
“You’re gonna learn how to suck dick.”
“What? That’s your plan?”
“All I’m sayin’ is when life throws you dick, you make dickade.”
“Dickade doesn’t sound like a significant improvement over dick.”
Already at the 1/3 point in the year.
WEEK 4
All games are on Saturday, 23SEP17
Rankings noted are AP Poll rank
1. #17 MISSISSIPPI STATE (3-0) +6 at #11 GEORGIA (3-0) - [Opened UGA-6]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
Mississippi State embarrassed LSU last week and have won their first 3 games by a combined 143-28, primarily by running the ball. Georgia’s RunD so far has given up an avg. of just 71 ypg and held Notre Dame to 266 total yards. But UGA was also 4-18 in 3rd down conversions against the Irish and averaged less than 5 yds/pass play. I like the points.
MISSISSIPPI STATE
2. #20 FLORIDA (1-1) -3 at KENTUCKY (3-0) - [Opened UF-4]
Kentucky comes in undefeated, and off a win against Carolina, while the Gators bask in the glow of beating Tennessee. Kentucky didn’t show a lot of offense against USCe, gave up over 300 yards on the ground in RunD, but only 13 points. Florida’s O is still suspect but I think they have more than Kentucky.
FLORIDA.
3. #5PENN STATE (3-0) -12.5 at IOWA (3-0) - [Opened PSU -12.5]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
PennSt begins its conference schedule on the road against a team who is, like PSU, undefeated. However, in games that matter, Iowa squeaked by IowaSt. in OT and allowed ISU 347 yards passing while PSU beat Pitt in a rather workmanlike, “just the facts, m’am”, manner, leading 28-6 going into the 4th Q. PSU comes off a 56-0 scrimmage with GeorgiaSt. while Iowa actually trailed North Texas at the half last week. What does this all mean? I don’t see Iowa hanging with the Nits.
PENN STATE
4. #8MICHIGAN (3-0) -10 at PURDUE (2-1) - [Opened UM -10.5]
Michigan is undefeated, while Purdue’s only loss was to Louisville by a respectable 28-35, and they beat Mizzu 36-3 last week. Purdue lacks a potent running game while Michigan has allowed just 125 ypg in the air, so the Q is, where does Purdue get their O? Ah, but not so fast, my friends. Michigan only led Air Force 16-13 at the start of the 4th Q last week. And Purdue gets 10 at home. UM wins, but Purdue covers.
PURDUE
5. NOTRE DAME (2-1) -4.5 at MICHIGAN ST (2-0) – [Opened ND -4.5]
Notre Dame dominated the Catholic Bowl last week, beating BC 49-20, but then, MSU beat a Western Mich team that gave USC some trouble, crushing their offense in ways USC couldn’t. MSU comes off a bye week which helps their very young team work out whatever issues they’ve seen in the first two games, while the Irish play their second straight road game in two weeks. Home cooking prevails.
MICHIGAN STATE
6. #4USC (3-0) -16.5 at CALIFORNIA (3-0) - [Opened USC -15.5]
This should be an easy pick except for a few inconvenient truths. USC’s signature win this season, Stanford, was overturned last week by SanDiegoSt., and the Trojans needed heroics to win a game as a 16 point fav last week. Meanwhile, a team nobody thought much of went east and beat an ACC team and beat an SEC team at home last week. The line has gone up a point. I think it should come down. USC is beaten up; having lost or have as questionable, a whopping 18 players, 13 on the D.
CALIFORNIA
7. CENTRAL FLORIDA (1-0) +3.5 at MARYLAND (2-0) {Opened CF +3.5]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT! *
*Such as it is…
This is a fun one for what it is we don’t know. Central Florida hasn’t played in a while, but did beat up on FIU 61-17 to start the year. Maryland beat Texas on the road and then FIU lookalike, Towson at home 63-17, and then had a bye week last week. So both teams have had time to arm themselves for the other. Scott Frost is in his second season as HC at UCF and there were some expectations they’d be good after absorbing his system last year. They return 9 on offense. Meanwhile, Maryland has scored 114 points in two games. The O/U is 67.5. Should be a wild one, and I’m gotta roll with the half point.
CENTRAL FLORIDA
8. UCLA (2-1) +7.5 at STANFORD (1-2) -7.5 – [Opened Stanford -9.5]
Two teams looking for redemption after losing last week. It is evident that Stanford isn’t the Stanford we thought they were, while the Bruins…well, they are what we thought they were. The Bruins can’t run the ball terribly well, which has been the Achille’s Heel of Stanford’s D, but have proven to be a quick strike team with Rosen. Meanwhile, Stanford wants to run it all day, every day. Add in some injuries to the BruinD (8 total and 6 on D listed as out or questionable), robbing of them of depth and I think the TOP gets ugly for the Bruins.
STANFORD.
9. #22SAN DIEGO ST. (3-0) -3.5 at AIR FORCE (1-1) – [Opened SDSt -6]
San Diego State has burst into the top 25 with wins over two Pac12 teams in consecutive weeks. They lost Pomphrey to the NFL, but seemed to have plugged in version 2.0 in Rashaad Penny. Don’t look now, but SDSt was 11-3 last season, so this shouldn’t be that much of a surprise. Meanwhile, Air Force stayed with Michigan for 3 quarters last week even though they lost almost their entire D from last season. Add in their quirky offense and it’s enough to give SDSt some issues. Still, I think SDSt is better than a FG+.
SAN DIEGO ST.
10. #16TCU (3-0) +11.5 at #6OKLAHOMA ST. (3-0) – [Opened TCU+12.5]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
OKSt has shown they are for real this season, averaging 54 ppg in their first three. But TCU ain’t no slouch either, averaging 49 ppg. But neither has played a team as good as either of them so far this season. The O/U (70pts) does NOT see this as a defensive affair, however, and I’m expecting a see-saw game where 11.5 pts will be enough to cover, though in a losing cause.
TCU
11. #7WASHINGTON (3-0) -10.5 at COLORADO (3-0) [Opened UW -10]
BATTLE OF THE UNDEFEATED ALERT!
The Huskies travel to Boulder to face a Colorado team who hasn’t faced the likes of the Huskies yet this season, but UDub wasn’t particularly impressive in their only non-doormat game against Rutgers. Colorado proved no match for UW in the Pac12 Title game last year, but return nearly their entire offense. Washington lays 10.5 to the home dog. I’ll take it.
COLORADO
12. PITT (1-2) +7.5 at GEORGIA TECH (1-1) [Opened Pitt+7.5]
Pitt, Pitt, Pitt…what are we to make of this team? They have arguably played the toughest schedule in America the first 3 weeks, (so forgive us for letting a 1-2 record slide a bit), didn’t play that well, and now travel south to play GTech and that crazy O in their conference opener. Up until last week, GTech’s close loss to Tennessee was at least a little impressive. Now, not so much. I’m thinking Pitt is the better team, but hasn’t had the opportunity to show it, being overmatched by two top 5 caliber teams. And with a touchdown+ cushion?
PITTSBURGH
13. CINCINNATI (Extra bonus N this week, and 2-1) +11.5 at NAVY (2-0) [Opened Cin+10.5]
Another week when the Bearcats get points when I’m not certain they need them. They are healthy, and though they haven’t worn out the endzone grass with offense they beat Miami-O straight up. Navy comes off a bye week, and are theoretically way better than Miami-O, although they didn’t show it against Tulane at home last week, winning by 4. Gotta roll with the points.
CINCINNATI
14. NORTH CAROLINA ST. +11 (2-1) at #12FLORIDA STATE (0-1) [Opened NCSt +12.5]
This line moved pretty significantly in the past few days. FSU has, count ‘em, 8 players listed as questionable for the game, which I assume explains the line move. But NCState hasn’t beaten anyone yet that matters, and FSU, on paper, is a far better team. For FSU, a three week hiatus in the middle of the regular season is more like a bowl game scenario than the regular season, and so FSU has been able to get first team reps for a new QB against the defensive style he will likely be seeing. I’m thinking that matters.
FLORIDA STATE
15. DUKE (3-0) -2.5 at NORTH CAROLINA (1-2) [Opened Duke -2.5]
I just HAD to put this game on the list. Two bitter rivals in the wrong sport playing a game where the records are deceiving. Duke starts the season already with 75% of all the wins it got last season, but didn’t beat the spread against hapless Baylor, while the Tarheels have only a win over Old Dominion to show for the season, even though they’ve shown they can score, getting 30 and 35 against Cal and Louisville so far. My problem however, is that I’ve already gotten on the Duke offense bus. I think they outscore NC by better than 3.
DUKE
