WEEK 14 - OFFICIAL SCHEDULE

[Walter]

"What is five times two?...Anyone?...Now come on children, don't be shy, just give it your best shot. Yes, Clive?"
"Twelve."
"OK, now let's try to get an answer from someone who's not a complete retard."

WEEK 14

Okay, kids. This is it. Crunch week.
This is the week that decides it all. Lots of great games, but being the end of the year, we are a bit sparse on picks.
I was going to include Army/Navy, but there is no line yet, so perhaps that will be a fun tie-breaker next week with a pick and some tie-breaking prop bets.
Similarly, all the FCS games are straight picks, no lines. So, this field is going to be it.

Note the early game.
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 1

P12CG (9-3) #21 STANFORD +4 VS #11 USC (10-2)
REMATCH OF WEEK 2 WHERE USC DOMINATED. BOTH TEAMS HAVE HAD THEIR BAD MOMENTS AND BOTH HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT. USC STRUGGLED AGAINST THE DEFENSE OPTIONAL BRUINS IN THEIR LAST GAME, BUT COME OFF THEIR FIRST BYE WEEK OF THE SEASON, WHILE STANFORD PLAY IN A SHORT WEEK AFTER A BRUISING WIN AGAINST NOTRE DAME LAST WEEK. I THINK THE REST HELPS THE TROJANS REFOCUS AND THE SHORT WEEK HURTS THE TREE LATE.
USC

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 2

AMERICANCG (10-1) #20 MEMPHIS -7 AT #15 UCF (11-0)
THIS SHOULD BE A FANTASTIC GAME. UCF IS #1 IN THE NATION IN SCORING OFFENSE, AND MEMPHIS IS #2. THE ONLY BLEMISH TO THE TIGER’S SEASON IS A WEEK 2 LOSS TO…WAIT FOR IT…UCF, 13-40. SINCE THEN, THEY HAVE REELED OFF 9 STRAIGHT WINS, INCLUDING TWO, COUNT’EM WINS WHERE THEY PUT UP 70. THEY GET 7 AND IT’S A REVENGE GAME.
MEMPHIS

BIG12CCG (10-2) #12 TCU +7 VS #4 OKLAHOMA (11-1)
OKLAHOMA HAS LOOKED UNSTOPPABLE OF LATE, AND THAT INCLUDES 3 WEEKS AGO WHEN THE FROGS COULDN’T STOP THEM. IN THE REMATCH. BOTH TEAMS, (ASIDE FROM THEIR GAME AGAINST EACH OTHER) HAVE THE SAME 7 POINT LOSSES TO IOWA STATE AS THE ONLY BLEMISHES ON THEIR RESUMES. NORMALLY, I’D BE LOOKING FOR TCU TO AVENGE THE LOSS WITH THAT FAT 7 POINTS, BUT THE SOONERS ARE PLAYING GREAT FOOTBALL RIGHT NOW.
OKLAHOMA

SECCG (11-1) #7 GEORGIA +2.5 VS. #6 AUBURN (10-2)
THIS HAS ALL THE MAKINGS OF A TRAP GAME FOR THE TIGERS. UGA WAS HUMILIATED BY AUBURN 3 WEEKS AGO AT AUBURN. MEANWHILE, AUBURN, PERHAPS HUNGOVER, COMES OFF A BIG WIN OVER RIVAL BAMA IN THE IRON BOWL…AND THE STAGE IS SET. AFTER LOSING BY 23, VEGAS ONLY GIVES THE BULLDOGS 2.5 POINTS THIS GO ‘ROUND. I THINK THEY WIN IT OUTRIGHT.
GEORGIA

MWCG (9-3) FRESNO STATE +9 AT #23 BOISE STATE (9-3)
I KNOW WHAT YOU’RE THINKING. DIDN’T WE JUST DO THIS LAST WEEK? YES. AND THE BOARD GOT MASSACRED, WITH 18 OF 22 PICKS GOING THE WRONG WAY. THIS TIME, IT’S AT BLUE-FIELD HOWEVER, SO EVEN THOUGH FSU WON LAST WEEK BY 11 POINTS, THE LINE FEEDS 9 TO THE BULLDOGS. WELL, HECK…IF YOU INSIST, I’LL TAKE IT.
FRESNO STATE…AGAIN!

ACCCG#2 (10-1) MIAMI +9.5 VS #3 CLEMSON (11-1)
COMING OFF THEIR UNEXPECTED LOSS TO PITT, MIAMI HAS TO REGROUP TO PLAY A CLEMSON SQUAD DEFENDING ITS FINAL 4 SLOT. MIAMI HAS BEEN DANCING ON A TIGHTROPE FOR A GOOD PART OF THE SEASON BUT KEPT CLIMBING UP THE RANKINGS WITH Ws, WINNING 4 OF THEIR GAMES BY LESS THAN A TOUCHDOWN. CLEMSON HAS WON 5 IN A ROW PRETTY CONVINCINGLY SINCE THEIR OWN UNEXPECTED LOSS TO SYRACUSE. ON PAPER, CLEMSON SHOULD WIN THIS EASY. THEY HAVE A BETTER D (#6 VS #41 IN TOTAL D) AND A BETTER O (#24 VS #45 IN TOTAL D). BIG QUESTION MARK FOR ME…CAN THE CANE’S D STEP UP AND CONTAIN A CLEMSON OFFENSE THAT SOMETIMES LOOKS GREAT AND SOMETIMES, NOT SO MUCH? UH….NO, NOT THIS TIME.
CLEMSON

BIG 10 CG (10-2) #9 OHIO STATE -6.5 VS #5 WISCONSIN (12-0)
THIS MIGHT BE THE MOST FUN PICK OF THE WEEK. I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT TO THINK ABOUT IT. WISCONSIN HASN’T IMPRESSED ME A LOT…ALL 12 STRAIGHT TIMES THEY’VE WON. AND OHIO STATE HAS IMPRESSED ME NOW AND THEN, BUT HAS THAT IOWA THING. THE BADGERS GET POINTS, AND I’M THINKING THOSE ARE POINTS TO MAKE UP FOR THE FACT THEY PLAY THAT BORING, WISCONSIN FOOTBALL. BUT THAT IS A STAT WHICH NEVER APPEARS ON A SCOREBOARD, SO I’LL TAKE THEM.
WISCONSIN

CUSACG (9-3) NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (9-3)
A CCG WITH TWO TEAMS THAT WERE BOTH EXPECTED TO FINISH SOMEWHERE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK OF CUSA. LANE KIFFIN HAS THE OWLS PLAYING THEIR BEST FOOTBALL, WINNING THEIR LAST 8 IN A ROW AFTE LOSING THEIR FIRST 3 OF 4. SIMILARLY, NORTH TEXAS HAS WON THEIR LAST 5 IN A ROW. UNFORTUNATELY, THEIR LAST LOSS WAS A BEATDOWN BY…FLORIDA ATLANTIC, 31-69 AT FAU. SO, AFTER LOSING BY 38, THIS TIME AROUND THEY GET 10.5. I DON’T THINK IT’S ENOUGH.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC

MIDAMCCG (7-5) AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO (10-2)
AKRON? AKRON IS THE MAC-EAST WINNER? YEP. OF COURSE, THE MAC-EAST MIGHT BE THE WORST DIVISION IN FBS, WITH ONLY TWO TEAMS WITH WINNING RECORDS. THEY GET A TWO LOSS TOLEDO TEAM IN THE CCG, AND ONE OF TOLEDO’S LOSSES WAS TO MIAMI…AS IN HURRICANES. THE OTHER WAS TO THE TEAM THAT AKRON BEAT TO GET TO THIS GAME, OHIO. OH, AND ONE OTHER SMALL DETAIL. TOLEDO ALREADY BEAT AKRON ONCE, 48-21. THIS GAME WON’T BE CLOSE, BUT 21 SEEMS LIKE A LOT TO LAY IN A CCG. I SENSE A BACKDOOR COVER.
AKRON

ALMOST THE SUNBELTCCG

(9-2) TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE (7-3)
THIS ONE ISN’T A CCG, BUT IT MIGHT AS WELL BE. BY LUCK OF THE SCHEDULE THESE TWO ARE THE TOP TEAMS IN THE SUNBELT. AKST COMES OFF A WIN AT LA-MONROE WHERE THEY SCORED 67 POINTS, BUT HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT, LOSING TO A BAD SO. BAMA TEAM JUST 3 WEEKS AGO. TROY, OTOH, COMES OFF ITS OWN 60+ POINT BLOWOUT OVER TEXAS ST, AND HAS WON THEIR LAST 5 IN A ROW…UH….SINCE THEIR LOSS TO…WAIT FOR IT…SO. BAMA BACK IN OCTOBER.
TROY HAS LOST THE LAST 4 AGAINST AKST AND GET 1.5 POINTS. I KEEP THINKING ABOUT THAT LSU GAME…
TROY

(4-7) UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (7-4)
I ADDED THIS ONE BECAUSE IT IS AN INTERESTING MATCHUP. A 4-7 TEAM TRAVELS TO PLAY A 7-4 TEAM AND IT’S A ONE POINT PICK?
UMASS BEGAN THE SEASON LOSING THEIR FIRST 6 STRAIGHT. BUT SINCE THEN, THEY’VE WON 4 OF 5, AND THE ONE LOSS WAS TO MISS. ST. IN A GAME WHERE THEY TRAILED BY ONLY 4 POINTS MID-WAY THROUGH THE 4TH QUARTER. FIU HAS LOST 2 OF THEIR LAST 3, BUT BEAT WESTERN KENTUCKY 41-17 LAST WEEK. THIS IS ACTUALLY A TOUGH PICK. THE RECORDS DON’T SEEM TO TELL MUCH OF A STORY AND THE LINE REFLECTS THAT. I’LL TAKE THE HOME TEAM TO WIN IT IN A SQUEAKER.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL.

[gatr55555]

P12CG (9-3) #21 STANFORD +4 VS #11 USC (10-2) Stainford W

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 2

AMERICANCG (10-1) #20 MEMPHIS +7 AT #15 UCF (11-0) UCF P


BIG12CCG (10-2) #12 TCU +7 VS #4 OKLAHOMA (11-1) Sooners W

SECCG (11-1) #7 GEORGIA +2.5 VS. #6 AUBURN (10-2) Auburn

MWCG (9-3) FRESNO STATE +9 AT BOISE ST.(9-3) FSU W

ACCCG#2 (10-1) MIAMI +9.5 VS #3 CLEMSON (11-1) Clemson W

BIG 10 CG (10-2) #9 OHIO STATE -6.5 VS #5 WISCONSIN (12-0) Whiskey W

CUSACG (9-3) NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (9-3) FAU W

MIDAMCCG (7-5) AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO (10-2) Toledo

ALMOST THE SUNBELTCCG

(9-2) TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE (7-3) Troy W

(4-7) UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (7-4) FIU W

[Deleted]

STANFORD +4 VS USC bet THE FARM - WINNING!!

MEMPHIS -7 AT UCF UCF - push

TCU +7 VS OKLAHOMA OKLAHOMA - WINNING!!

GEORGIA +2.5 VS. AUBURN AUBURN - Dammit, Jim, my gut said Poodles...

FRESNO STATE +9 AT BOISE STATE BOYZEE - Dammit, Jim

MIAMI +9.5 VS CLEMSON CLEMSON - WINNING!!

OHIO STATE -6.5 VS WISCONSIN WHISKY A G0-G0 - WINNING!!

NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC FLORIDA ATLANTIC - WINNING!!

AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO AKRON - WINNING!!

TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE TROY - WINNING!!

UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL FLORIDA INT'L - WINNING!!

[Mickey34jb]

USC

UCF

TCU

GEORGIA

FRESNO STATE

MIAMI

OHIO STATE

FLORIDA ATLANTIC

AKRON

TROY

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

[Deleted]

Movie: South Park Bigger, Larger, Uncut

1. USC

2. UCF

3. Oklahoma

4. Auburn

5. Fresno State

6. Clemson

7. Ohio State!!!!

8. Florida Atlantic

9. Toledo

10. Troy

11. Florida International

[beuycek]

STANFORD +4 VS USC - Men of Troy

MEMPHIS -7 AT UCF - Knights -- PUSH

TCU +7 VS OKLAHOMA - Frogs

GEORGIA +2.5 VS. AUBURN - War Eagle

FRESNO STATE +9 AT BOISE STATE - Bulldogs -- WIN

MIAMI +9.5 VS CLEMSON - Tigers -- WIN

OHIO STATE -6.5 VS WISCONSIN - GO BUCKS!

NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC - Owls -- WIN

AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO - Zips -- WIN

TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE - Trojans -- WIN

UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL - Panthers -- WIN

[drjensen]

STANFORD +4 VS USC - USC
Lost

MEMPHIS -7 AT UCF - Memphis
Push

TCU +7 VS OKLAHOMA - Sooners
Won

GEORGIA +2.5 VS. AUBURN - Georgia
Won

FRESNO STATE +9 AT BOISE STATE - Fresno State
Won

MIAMI +9.5 VS CLEMSON - Miami
Lost

OHIO STATE -6.5 VS WISCONSIN - Wisconsin
Won

NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC - North Texas
Lost

AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO - Toledo
Lost

TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE - Arkansas State
Lost

UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL - Florida International
Won

5-5-1

[cbisbig]

Cardinal +4
Knights +7
Horned Frogs +7
Uga +2 1/2
Fresno St +9
Tigers -9 1/2
Osu -6 1/2
Owls -10 1/2
Rockets -21
Trojans +1 1/2
FIU -1

[bamorin]

STANFORD +4 VS USC - USC.........damn

MEMPHIS -7 AT UCF - UCF.........sister kiss

TCU +7 VS OKLAHOMA - Sooners.........yea

GEORGIA +2.5 VS. AUBURN - Georgia.......ahead at the half

FRESNO STATE +9 AT BOISE STATE - BoyZEE

MIAMI +9.5 VS CLEMSON - Clemson

OHIO STATE -6.5 VS WISCONSIN - Ohio State

NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC - flarder atl........yea

AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO - Toledo.......damn

TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE - Troy

UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL - UMass........minute men only lasted a second.....damn

[Coaltrain]

For tonight's game - USC
I'll figure out the rest after work.

[mscott59]

movie? no clue.

games? based on my results so far this year... the same. lol

STANFORD +4 VS USC
back in the days before ccg's, post season rematches were relatively rare, but when they happened the revenging team almost always turned the tables. since the sec began its ccg in '92, there have been 30 same season rematches (with 7 more on tap this weekend) and the team who lost in the regular season hasn't fared as well; 12-18 su, 13-17 ats. thought that was interesting. when these 2 met in sept, the trojans rolled 42-14, ran for 307, and outgained the trees 623-342. ouch. plus sc enters off a bye, and playing well, off 4 straight wins. but... ccg teams off a bye are just 3-8 ats vs an opponent w/same season revenge, and a team who got blown out by the irish 49-14 is favored by 4 over a team who just beat nd 38-20 a week ago? plus, under david shaw, the cardinal is 11-3 ats as a dog, w/9 su wins. stanford.

MEMPHIS +7 AT UCF
memphis is +7, not -7, in this game. another revenge matchup, after ucf dominated the tigers in sept 40-13 w/a 350-75 yards edge rushing. but as i've mentioned here the last month or so, unbeaten favorites really tend to struggle to cover at the end of the season, and the knights have failed to cover 3 of their last 4 games, and the 1 they covered (temple, 49-13) was thanks to 5 turnovers. ucf is 10-0 su vs memphis, and their qb milton has been outstanding. but the tigers qb ferguson has been equally as good, and arguably has better wr's. memphis is 8-3-1 ats as road dogs, and mix in all the talk about scott frost possibly leaving ucf? if there's one good thing about expanding a cfb playoff, it would be so deserving teams like central florida get a chance. that said, i think this one stays close. memphis.

TCU +7 VS OKLAHOMA
after a 6 yr sabbatical, the big 12 ccg returns. another matchup between 2 teams where one dominated the other (ou, 38-20 3 weeks ago). the horned frogs allowed 533 total yds and 200 on the ground to the sooners, both season highs for that usually stubborn d. ou is 6-1 ats off a big 12 win of 28+, 6-1 ats as big 12 chalk of 10/less, while tcu is 0-4 ats off a 21+ win. mayfield has had an incredible season on the field (37 tds, just 5 picks) and as long as he keeps his right hand gripped on the ball instead of his crotch, i don't see the sooners losing this one. oklahoma.

GEORGIA +2.5 VS. AUBURN
quite a 3 week run for war eagle, destroying uga 40-17, coasting over la-monroe, then knocking off alabama 26-14, their largest margin of victory in the series since 1969! all 3 of those games were at home, and the 2 sec wins came su as underdogs. now auburn is favorite, in atlanta, vs the dawgs. 6th trip for each to the sec ccg. the sec east rep hasn't won this game since tebow was at uf 9 years ago. in that game 3 weeks ago, those 40 pts and 488 total yds were the most georgia has allowed all season... the 46 yds uga had rushing was 220 below their season average. with johnson banged up last week for auburn, you'd think chubb/michel would have an edge in this rematch. auburn is just 13-23 ats as favorites lately, uga is 7-2 ats w/sec revenge, auburn 2-7 ats vs sec revenge, and dogs of 7/less in the sec title game are 7-4-1 ats. georgia.

FRESNO STATE +9 AT BOISE STATE
in all these revenge ccg matchups, haven't been able to find one that involves two teams who also played the previous week (fsu winning 28-17). so why is bsu hosting this game, when the 2 teams were tied at 7-1 in league play and the bulldogs won head to head? it's obviously due to the cfb playoff committee/past bowl committees' blatant favoritism toward ohio state. broncos are just 2-13 ats lately as home favorites, but 9-0 ats as league chalk of 10/less. fsu is 6-2 ats as league dogs of 7+. weather could be a factor... forecast calls for rain and temps in the high 30s. ugh. slightest of edges to boise state.

MIAMI +9.5 VS CLEMSON
after 14 yrs in the acc, the canes have finally arrived at a title game. miami's offense got shut down at pitt last week (232 yds) and i'm pretty sure clemson's d is better than the panthers'. rosier's had a good year at qb, but vs major competition he's only completing 52% of his passes; again, not encouraging. miami's d has played well this year too, and they've been able to rise (and fall) to the level of their competition all season. plus here's an interesting stat; defending national champs are just 2-5 ats in ccg's the following season lately. here's another; .800+ ccg teams off a su favorite loss are 8-0 su, 5-2-1 ats, and 2-0 su/ats as dogs. hm. miami gets a backdoor cover.

OHIO STATE -6.5 VS WISCONSIN
in my opinion, that line is vegas begging for people to take the bucks, figuring they can win by 7. pretty sneaky. tons of folks trying to draw parallels to 2014, but i can confirm that this tosu version is not as talented as that team was. and an undefeated team getting points is very attractive. these two teams are very similar on defense, although on paper ohio state would appear to be more dynamic on offense. plus uw qb hornibrook 13 picks this year is a concern, especially if meyer's team gets off to a quick start/lead. since 2010, the badgers are 0-5 su/1-3-1 ats vs osu. the question here is whether uw can, thanks to their good d and their clock-eating run game, keep the bucks on the bench. unbeaten teams in ccg's vs .900/less foes are 16-5 ats. plus the underdog has covered all 6 big 10 ccg's, winning 4 outright. uw is also a money-making 30-10-2 ats as dogs of 3+ when they're good (.750+). i'm on wisconsin.

NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC
i don't think people realize how hot fau (8 straight wins) and nt (5 straight) have been down the stretch. you wonder if lane kiffin is surveying the cfb landscape and plotting out where he might visit. he's done a great job in boca raton this yr. the host team in the cusa title game has won 5 in a row (4-1 ats). the mean green's best rb is banged up, and they're just 8-16 ats on the road, while fau is 7-2 as favorites this season. not a fan of the owls' leaky defense, but fau beat north texas 69-31 when nt was at full strength. florida atlantic.

AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO
hard to believe that, as consistently good as the rockets have been down thru the years, this is toledo's 1st trip to the mac title game since '04. in october ut buried the zips 49-21, and today akron's qb is unlikely to play. giving 3 td's in a title game is not something i'd put $$ on, but i don't see action u having enough offense to keep this interesting. toledo.

TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE
both these teams have just 1 loss in the sun belt; both loss to south alabama. revenge spot for the trojans, who got spanked by arkansas state 35-3 at home last yr. asu is 24-13 ats as home chalk, troy 9-1 ats as road dogs. troy.

UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
umass started the year 0-6, but all 6 losses were by 10/less. since then they've won 4 of 5. minutemen are 5-1 ats as dogs this year, while fiu is 0-3 ats as favorites. umass.

[mscott59]

hey everybody. the line on memphis-ucf should be memphis +7, not -7. big difference.

Nov 29, 2017 12:42:29 GMT -5 Walter said:

"What is five times two?...Anyone?...Now come on children, don't be shy, just give it your best shot. Yes, Clive?"
"Twelve."
"OK, now let's try to get an answer from someone who's not a complete retard."

WEEK 14

Okay, kids. This is it. Crunch week.
This is the week that decides it all. Lots of great games, but being the end of the year, we are a bit sparse on picks.
I was going to include Army/Navy, but there is no line yet, so perhaps that will be a fun tie-breaker next week with a pick and some tie-breaking prop bets.
Similarly, all the FCS games are straight picks, no lines. So, this field is going to be it.

Note the early game.
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 1

P12CG (9-3) #21 STANFORD +4 VS #11 USC (10-2)
REMATCH OF WEEK 2 WHERE USC DOMINATED. BOTH TEAMS HAVE HAD THEIR BAD MOMENTS AND BOTH HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT. USC STRUGGLED AGAINST THE DEFENSE OPTIONAL BRUINS IN THEIR LAST GAME, BUT COME OFF THEIR FIRST BYE WEEK OF THE SEASON, WHILE STANFORD PLAY IN A SHORT WEEK AFTER A BRUISING WIN AGAINST NOTRE DAME LAST WEEK. I THINK THE REST HELPS THE TROJANS REFOCUS AND THE SHORT WEEK HURTS THE TREE LATE.
USC

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 2

AMERICANCG (10-1) #20 MEMPHIS -7 AT #15 UCF (11-0)
THIS SHOULD BE A FANTASTIC GAME. UCF IS #1 IN THE NATION IN SCORING OFFENSE, AND MEMPHIS IS #2. THE ONLY BLEMISH TO THE TIGER’S SEASON IS A WEEK 2 LOSS TO…WAIT FOR IT…UCF, 13-40. SINCE THEN, THEY HAVE REELED OFF 9 STRAIGHT WINS, INCLUDING TWO, COUNT’EM WINS WHERE THEY PUT UP 70. THEY GET 7 AND IT’S A REVENGE GAME.
MEMPHIS

BIG12CCG (10-2) #12 TCU +7 VS #4 OKLAHOMA (11-1)
OKLAHOMA HAS LOOKED UNSTOPPABLE OF LATE, AND THAT INCLUDES 3 WEEKS AGO WHEN THE FROGS COULDN’T STOP THEM. IN THE REMATCH. BOTH TEAMS, (ASIDE FROM THEIR GAME AGAINST EACH OTHER) HAVE THE SAME 7 POINT LOSSES TO IOWA STATE AS THE ONLY BLEMISHES ON THEIR RESUMES. NORMALLY, I’D BE LOOKING FOR TCU TO AVENGE THE LOSS WITH THAT FAT 7 POINTS, BUT THE SOONERS ARE PLAYING GREAT FOOTBALL RIGHT NOW.
OKLAHOMA

SECCG (11-1) #7 GEORGIA +2.5 VS. #6 AUBURN (10-2)
THIS HAS ALL THE MAKINGS OF A TRAP GAME FOR THE TIGERS. UGA WAS HUMILIATED BY AUBURN 3 WEEKS AGO AT AUBURN. MEANWHILE, AUBURN, PERHAPS HUNGOVER, COMES OFF A BIG WIN OVER RIVAL BAMA IN THE IRON BOWL…AND THE STAGE IS SET. AFTER LOSING BY 23, VEGAS ONLY GIVES THE BULLDOGS 2.5 POINTS THIS GO ‘ROUND. I THINK THEY WIN IT OUTRIGHT.
GEORGIA

MWCG (9-3) FRESNO STATE +9 AT #23 BOISE STATE (9-3)
I KNOW WHAT YOU’RE THINKING. DIDN’T WE JUST DO THIS LAST WEEK? YES. AND THE BOARD GOT MASSACRED, WITH 18 OF 22 PICKS GOING THE WRONG WAY. THIS TIME, IT’S AT BLUE-FIELD HOWEVER, SO EVEN THOUGH FSU WON LAST WEEK BY 11 POINTS, THE LINE FEEDS 9 TO THE BULLDOGS. WELL, HECK…IF YOU INSIST, I’LL TAKE IT.
FRESNO STATE…AGAIN!

ACCCG#2 (10-1) MIAMI +9.5 VS #3 CLEMSON (11-1)
COMING OFF THEIR UNEXPECTED LOSS TO PITT, MIAMI HAS TO REGROUP TO PLAY A CLEMSON SQUAD DEFENDING ITS FINAL 4 SLOT. MIAMI HAS BEEN DANCING ON A TIGHTROPE FOR A GOOD PART OF THE SEASON BUT KEPT CLIMBING UP THE RANKINGS WITH Ws, WINNING 4 OF THEIR GAMES BY LESS THAN A TOUCHDOWN. CLEMSON HAS WON 5 IN A ROW PRETTY CONVINCINGLY SINCE THEIR OWN UNEXPECTED LOSS TO SYRACUSE. ON PAPER, CLEMSON SHOULD WIN THIS EASY. THEY HAVE A BETTER D (#6 VS #41 IN TOTAL D) AND A BETTER O (#24 VS #45 IN TOTAL D). BIG QUESTION MARK FOR ME…CAN THE CANE’S D STEP UP AND CONTAIN A CLEMSON OFFENSE THAT SOMETIMES LOOKS GREAT AND SOMETIMES, NOT SO MUCH? UH….NO, NOT THIS TIME.
CLEMSON

BIG 10 CG (10-2) #9 OHIO STATE -6.5 VS #5 WISCONSIN (12-0)
THIS MIGHT BE THE MOST FUN PICK OF THE WEEK. I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT TO THINK ABOUT IT. WISCONSIN HASN’T IMPRESSED ME A LOT…ALL 12 STRAIGHT TIMES THEY’VE WON. AND OHIO STATE HAS IMPRESSED ME NOW AND THEN, BUT HAS THAT IOWA THING. THE BADGERS GET POINTS, AND I’M THINKING THOSE ARE POINTS TO MAKE UP FOR THE FACT THEY PLAY THAT BORING, WISCONSIN FOOTBALL. BUT THAT IS A STAT WHICH NEVER APPEARS ON A SCOREBOARD, SO I’LL TAKE THEM.
WISCONSIN

CUSACG (9-3) NORTH TEXAS +10.5 AT FLORIDA ATLANTIC (9-3)
A CCG WITH TWO TEAMS THAT WERE BOTH EXPECTED TO FINISH SOMEWHERE IN THE MIDDLE OF THE PACK OF CUSA. LANE KIFFIN HAS THE OWLS PLAYING THEIR BEST FOOTBALL, WINNING THEIR LAST 8 IN A ROW AFTE LOSING THEIR FIRST 3 OF 4. SIMILARLY, NORTH TEXAS HAS WON THEIR LAST 5 IN A ROW. UNFORTUNATELY, THEIR LAST LOSS WAS A BEATDOWN BY…FLORIDA ATLANTIC, 31-69 AT FAU. SO, AFTER LOSING BY 38, THIS TIME AROUND THEY GET 10.5. I DON’T THINK IT’S ENOUGH.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC

MIDAMCCG (7-5) AKRON +21 VS. TOLEDO (10-2)
AKRON? AKRON IS THE MAC-EAST WINNER? YEP. OF COURSE, THE MAC-EAST MIGHT BE THE WORST DIVISION IN FBS, WITH ONLY TWO TEAMS WITH WINNING RECORDS. THEY GET A TWO LOSS TOLEDO TEAM IN THE CCG, AND ONE OF TOLEDO’S LOSSES WAS TO MIAMI…AS IN HURRICANES. THE OTHER WAS TO THE TEAM THAT AKRON BEAT TO GET TO THIS GAME, OHIO. OH, AND ONE OTHER SMALL DETAIL. TOLEDO ALREADY BEAT AKRON ONCE, 48-21. THIS GAME WON’T BE CLOSE, BUT 21 SEEMS LIKE A LOT TO LAY IN A CCG. I SENSE A BACKDOOR COVER.
AKRON

ALMOST THE SUNBELTCCG

(9-2) TROY +1.5 AT ARKANSAS STATE (7-3)
THIS ONE ISN’T A CCG, BUT IT MIGHT AS WELL BE. BY LUCK OF THE SCHEDULE THESE TWO ARE THE TOP TEAMS IN THE SUNBELT. AKST COMES OFF A WIN AT LA-MONROE WHERE THEY SCORED 67 POINTS, BUT HAVE BEEN INCONSISTENT, LOSING TO A BAD SO. BAMA TEAM JUST 3 WEEKS AGO. TROY, OTOH, COMES OFF ITS OWN 60+ POINT BLOWOUT OVER TEXAS ST, AND HAS WON THEIR LAST 5 IN A ROW…UH….SINCE THEIR LOSS TO…WAIT FOR IT…SO. BAMA BACK IN OCTOBER.
TROY HAS LOST THE LAST 4 AGAINST AKST AND GET 1.5 POINTS. I KEEP THINKING ABOUT THAT LSU GAME…
TROY

(4-7) UMASS +1 AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (7-4)
I ADDED THIS ONE BECAUSE IT IS AN INTERESTING MATCHUP. A 4-7 TEAM TRAVELS TO PLAY A 7-4 TEAM AND IT’S A ONE POINT PICK?
UMASS BEGAN THE SEASON LOSING THEIR FIRST 6 STRAIGHT. BUT SINCE THEN, THEY’VE WON 4 OF 5, AND THE ONE LOSS WAS TO MISS. ST. IN A GAME WHERE THEY TRAILED BY ONLY 4 POINTS MID-WAY THROUGH THE 4TH QUARTER. FIU HAS LOST 2 OF THEIR LAST 3, BUT BEAT WESTERN KENTUCKY 41-17 LAST WEEK. THIS IS ACTUALLY A TOUGH PICK. THE RECORDS DON’T SEEM TO TELL MUCH OF A STORY AND THE LINE REFLECTS THAT. I’LL TAKE THE HOME TEAM TO WIN IT IN A SQUEAKER.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL.

[bamorin]

Dec 1, 2017 9:57:43 GMT -5 mscott59 said:

hey everybody. the line on memphis-ucf should be memphis +7, not -7. big difference.

damn son.........you can F-U a wet dream...........

[Deleted]

FRIDAY, DECEMBER 1

1. (9-3) #21 Stanford +4 VS #11 USC (10-2)--------------USC-----------------L-----0-1

SATURDAY, DECEMBER 2

2. (10-1) #20 Memphis +7 AT #15 UCF (11-0)-------------Central Florida-----T-----0-1-1

3. (10-2) #12 TCU +7 VS #4 Oklahoma (11-1)-------------TCU-----------------L-----0-2-1

4. (11-1) #7 Georgia +2.5 VS. #6 Auburn (10-2)-----------Georgia------------W-----1-2-1

5. (9-3) Fresno State +9 AT #23 Boise State (9-3)----------Fresno State------W-----2-2-1

6. (10-1) Miami +9.5 VS Clemson (11-1)---------------------Clemson----------W-----3-2-1

7. (10-2) #9 Ohio State -6.5 VS #5 Wisconsin (12-0)-------Wisconsin---------W-----4-2-1

8. (9-3) North Texas +10.5 AT Florida Atlantic (9-3)---------Florida Atlantic---W-----5-2-1

9. (7-5) Akron +21 VS. Toledo (10-2)-------------------------Toledo-------------L-----5-3-1

10. (9-2) Troy +1.5 AT Arkansas State (7-3)-----------------Troy---------------W-----6-3-1

11. (4-7) UMass +1 AT Florida International (7-4)-----------Florida IU----------W-----7-3-1

[Deleted]

I figured that should be Memphis +7 - took UCF regardless - Frost wants to go home to mama a winner plus the game is apparently in Orlando.