WEEK 6 -- "Don't call me stupid!"

[Coaltrain]

Arizona +23 @ Oregon - Oregon
Utah State +21 @ BYU -BYU cougars
Miami -1.5 @ Georgia Tech - Georgia
Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame -Stanford
LSU +7.5 @ Auburn -Auburn
Oklahoma -5 @ TCU -Oklahoma
Florida +2.5 @ Tennessee -Tennessee
Alabama -6 @ Mississippi -Bama
Texas A&M +1.5 @ Mississippi State -Miss State
Nebraska +7.5 @ Michigan State -Mich
Arizona State +11.5 @ USC -USC
Pitt +6.5 @ Virginia - Virginia Cavaliers
Baylor -16.5 @ Texas -Baylor
Ohio State -7.5 @ Maryland -Buckeyes
Utah +13 @ UCLA -UCLA

What will be, will be..

[Deleted]

Oct 1, 2014 20:13:50 GMT -5 Lee The Locksmith said:

Oct 1, 2014 20:02:19 GMT -5 DrSchadenfreude said:

My favorite scene...

Thanx (once again) for ruining it for the rest of the board here.....Jerk



Yer too much of a yellow coward prick to make CFB pix on yer own (even coaltrain is kickin yer ass), so why don't you disappear BILLY NEEDERHUT and go shrink some heads ?

Lee, stop stalking me.  That's four in a row for you that had no relevance to the thread or my posts.

Your post here has nothing to do with the games Trn posted, or the movie.  It's troll shit.

[oldgraylady]

Arizona
BYU
Miami
Notre Dame
Auburn
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Alabama
Miss State
Michigan State
USC
Virginia
Baylor
Ohio State
Utah

Que Sera Sera
[/b][/font]

[lz2112]

Arizona +23 @ Oregon - Arizona
Utah State +21 @ BYU - Utah State
Miami -1.5 @ Georgia Tech - Miami
Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame - Notre Dame
LSU +7.5 @ Auburn - Auburn
Oklahoma -5 @ TCU - Oklahoma
Florida +2.5 @ Tennessee - Tennessee
Alabama -6 @ Mississippi - Alabama
Texas A&M +1.5 @ Mississippi State - Mississippi State
Nebraska +7.5 @ Michigan State - Michigan State
Arizona State +11.5 @ USC - USC
Pitt +6.5 @ Virginia - Virginia
Baylor -16.5 @ Texas - Texas
Ohio State -7.5 @ Maryland - Maryland
Utah +13 @ UCLA - UCLA

[mscott59]

you know, there aren't a lot of movies where one of the main characters is named otto that i can think of. airplane's automatic pilot, and a fish called wanda, a truly great comedy that doesn't get enough credit for being a classic.

Arizona +23 @ Oregon - nice revenge spot for uo after last year's shocking 42-16 pasting (ducks were favored by 18.5; a 44+ pt cover... you don't see that often). fwiw both teams are 1-3 ats this year. 23 is a ton of pts to give, but i'm not a believer in ua based on what i've seen to date. oregon

Utah State +21 @ BYU - 3rd straight home game for the cougars, off 2 less than impressive wins over houston and uva. usu was favored last year, maybe for the first time in the 92 year series history, and lost 31-14 when their qb keeton got hurt (and he's banged up now too...missed last week's game). the aggies have never won in provo, but since '08 they are an amazing 18-3-1 when getting 5+ pts. plus their back up qb (garrettson) was 6-1 su last year. byu qb hill is good, but 3 td's is too much in this rivalry. utah st.

Miami -1.5 @ Georgia Tech - canes have won/covered 5 straight in this series, and are off a nice win over overrated duke. i like kaaya, miami's frosh qb, but nerd stat of the week #1 favors the wreck here; rested home dogs w/revenge off a win, vs a .500+ league foe also off a win, are 40-17 ats since 1990. that is a very solid trend. this should be as close as the line, but i like the jackets. ga tech.

Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame - i'm surprised that the trees are favored here, and expect by kickoff to see this line flip. su has won 4 of the last 5, and their d has been as stingy as possible, giving up just 26 pts (2 tds) in 4 games. but they are just 2-5 ats the last 7 as road chalk. nd, meanwhile, (nerd stat alert #2) has scored 30+ pts in their first four games for the first time since ww2. golston is my early favorite for the heisman based on his play to date, and he will be the difference in an otherwise evenly matched game. notre dame.

LSU +7.5 @ Auburn - normally seeing lsu get points would make me reach for my wallet immediately; they've only been a dog twice since '11. and they've had their way w/the boys from the plains, winning 6 of the last 7. but... 9 players off lsu's '13 team were nfl draftees last year, and another 9 were drafted the year before. that is amazing, but it's also nearly impossible to replace. especially up front on d, where wisconsin and miss. st. ran pretty easily. this is also lsu's first true road game of the season. tall order. au is a decent (12-9 since 2010) home favorite, they have revenge (6-0 ats last 6 vs sec in that scenario), malzahn is 14-3 ats vs sec, they're 5-1 ats the last 6 as sec favorites of 10/less. rebuilding year for lsu. war eagle is humming now. auburn.

Oklahoma -5 @ TCU - of all the attractive games this weekend, this may end up topping the list. ou has looked real good early, and they are a real good (11-6) road favorite. but a struggling tcu last year gave the sooners lots of trouble (20-17 final), and the frogs are better now. oklahoma is just 5-13 ats the week before the rrs w/texas, and tcu has been a historically solid (10-4 recently) home dog. plus there are a plethora of trends favoring tcu; home dog w/revenge off a 35+ win (46-25-1), .500+ home dog off 42+ vs opponent off scoring 42+ (25-14-1), .500+ team w/revenge off an ooc shutout win vs league foe (51-21), and a couple more i won't bore you with. i think tcu's run d is good enough to make ou more one dimensional, and that will keep this close to the end. texas christian.

Florida +2.5 @ Tennessee - heightened sense of urgency here for both programs, as the vols fight for renewed sec respect and the gators fight to (it appears) keep their coach. tennessee impressed in their close loss at uga, but the vols are just 3-7 ats as home faves recently. despite getting spanked by the tide, uf is still 4-2 its last 6 getting points on the road. ut remains very young (22 frosh i believe have played this year), and there are a few trends that go against teams who started the season w/2 wins followed by 2 losses. i'm going to take a chance that getting out of gainesville relaxes muschamp and his team. florida.

Alabama -6 @ Mississippi - well, we've seen this before. rebels start the season fast, run into alabama, and reality hits like a hammer rammer jammer. on the surface it looks like a rerun in '14. but... the tide has only covered one of its last 5 games outside tuscaloosa. this is their first true road test and it will be a new qb experiencing it. ua is just 2-5 when favored by 10/less recently. ol' miss is a good home dog (4-1, 5-1 w/sec revenge) lately... wallace just may be the best qb on the field saturday. it's been 10 yrs since the rebs have knocked off alabama, and i think this year they give saban a scare. mississippi.

Texas A&M +1.5 @ Mississippi State - wow what a great cfb saturday in the magnolia state. bulldogs fresh off a great win at lsu and now the unbeaten aggies come to town. prescott is playing like the best qb in sec, but so is hill for a&m. historically the trends don't favor teams as small home favorites off a big road dog win. msu is a solid 10-6 as home chalk, aggies just 2-6 ats getting points on the road of late. but i think a&m is better than lsu. and i'm getting points. i'll take 'em. texas a&m.

Nebraska +7.5 @ Michigan State - unl is 5-0 for the first time since '10 and 2nd time in what seems like forever. w/miller-osu on the shelf, abdullah is clearly the best offensive player in the big 10. huskers can score on offense, but, on d? mcneese st moved the ball all day, miami's frosh qb moved the ball on the blackshirts. sparty is averaging 50 ppg. the last time nebraska played a high profile league night game, osu hung 63 on them. last year unl had 5 turnovers when msu beat them 41-28. they have revenge going for them, but not enough beef on defense. michigan state.

Arizona State +11.5 @ USC - normally, off a devastating loss like asu suffered vs ucla last week, i'd like them as a road dog. but w/qb kelley still banged up, asu not being a good (1-4) road dog, usc having revenge from last year's 62-41 blowout? trojans.

Pitt +6.5 @ Virginia - uva has been one of the nice surprise teams of the year. 3-2, and covered all 4 of their lined games. beat kent st from the mac 45-13 last week. pitt lost to akron from the mac 21-10 last week. a>b>c means cavs in a blow out. right? well, pitt still has a good running game, like byu who beat uva a couple weeks ago. after 3 subpar performances for the panthers, combined w/virginia's ats perfection to date, often those flip for a week. nerd stat alert #3: league away dogs of 6/more, off a 4+ home loss where they were favored by 7+, are 41-11-1 since 1980. i'm 'fillin' pittsburgh, y'uns.

Baylor -16.5 @ Texas - i was going thru my records, trying to find the last time texas was a 17 pt dog at home to an in-state opponent. it must have happened sometime in the past, but i couldn't find it. horns (at least those who are still on the team) have played better recently vs ucla and kansas. there is no doubt who is the better team on both sides of the ball here, though. my question is if baylor, who is just 2-7 the last 9 as road chalk, will look past texas to next week's game w/tcu. don't laugh. nerd stat alert #4; road faves off a -10+ road fave non-cover game are 82-51-1 since 1980. bears aren't looking past texas. baylor

Ohio State -7.5 @ Maryland - i leave tomorrow at 6 am for meetings in dc. wouldn't you know it? osu is playing 10 miles away the next day. what a coincidence! first ever meeting between the two, and first ever big 10 home game for maryland my maryland. terps have been impressive early at 4-1 and their strength (wr's diggs and long) is definitely osu's achilles heel. terps are only 3-5 as home dogs, bucks are 6-0 -17/less vs teams off 2 wins, and 7-1 on the road vs teams off 10+ win. besides the obvious questions for osu's secondary (will we give up 3 60+ yd td passes in a game again?), i'm wondering whether osu's young/improving o-line will continue its upward trend. that's needed on the road. i think the buckeye run game makes the difference. ohio state.

Utah +13 @ UCLA - last year utah outplayed ucla, but their qb threw 6 picks and the bruins escaped with a 34-27 win. ucla is off a 62-27 cruise at arizona st. but... the devils had 627 yards of offense, w/their back up qb, against the ucla defense. hm. ucla is 0-7 at home vs a team w/revenge. hmm. ucla is 0-4 ats prior to playing oregon. hmmm. utah.

k-k-k-k-ken is trying to k-k-k-k-kill me!!

mark scott
tosu 81

[Deleted]

Arizona +23 @ Oregon - Arizona
Utah State +21 @ BYU - BYU
Miami -1.5 @ Georgia Tech - Miami
Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame - Notre Dame
LSU +7.5 @ Auburn - LSU
Oklahoma -5 @ TCU - Oklahoma
Florida +2.5 @ Tennessee - Florida
Alabama -6 @ Mississippi - Alabama
Texas A&M +1.5 @ Mississippi State - Texas A&M
Nebraska +7.5 @ Michigan State - Michigan State
Arizona State +11.5 @ USC - USC
Pitt +6.5 @ Virginia - Pitt
Baylor -16.5 @ Texas - Baylor
Ohio State -7.5 @ Maryland - Ohio State
Utah +13 @ UCLA - UCLA

[daleko]

Oct 2, 2014 0:30:12 GMT -5 DrSchadenfreude said:

Lee, stop stalking me.  That's four in a row for you that had no relevance to the thread or my posts.
Your post here has nothing to do with the games Trn posted, or the movie.  It's troll shit.

You're not interesting enough to troll. Change the channel on your tin foil hat.

[daleko]

Zona
BYU
Miami
ND
LSU
OK
Tenn
Bama
Miss St
MSU
USC
Pitt
Baylor
tOSU
UCLA

[oujour76]

ARIZONA
UTAH STATE
GEORGIA TECH
NOTRE DAME
AUBURN
OKLAHOMA
TENNESSEE
ALABAMA
TEXAS A&M
MICHIGAN STATE
USC
PITT
BAYLOR
OHIO STATE
UTAH

[Walter]

"Apes don't read philosophy."


THURSDAY NIGHT GAME

Arizona +23 @ Oregon: Oregon may not be able to stop Arizona, but on the road at Autzen? No way the Cats stop the Ducks. They are 87th in total D and 100th in redzone D. Even at +23, I gotta take Oregon.

FRIDAY NIGHT GAME

Utah State +21 @ BYU: I don't think the Aggies O is any good at all. and AT BYU? They will struggle...But the D ain't bad. 4th in Run D, and 32nd in total D...I'll take the points. Aggies.

SATURDAY GAMES

Miami -1 ½ @ Georgia Tech: Tough one to figure. Canes aren't great at RunD. Seems to be a battle of the "just okays"...With Miami on the road, I'll take the home advantage Gtech

Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame: IMO, the Stanford betting line continues to coast on last year's rep. I don't think they can stay with ND, especially at South Bend Domers.

LSU +7 ½ @ Auburn: Auburn Don't know what to make of LSU so far...IMO, this one is about LSUs DLine vs Auburn's run game.
I think Auburn wins the game, but I'm taking that half point to the bank. LSU

Oklahoma -5 @ TCU: Too much sandbagging of stats for TCU against questionable opponents. I don't even think this will be close.
Sooners.

Florida +2 ½ @ Tennessee: I almost don't care who they are playing...I'll take UF's opponent, and AT UT? Volunteers.

Alabama -6 @ Mississippi: What Trn said.... Alabama is going to win this one comfortably.

Texas A&M +1 ½ @ Mississippi State: IMO, two over-rated teams, though MSU's win over LSU at Red Stick WAS impressive. I do like their D. aTm, got a Carolina team that wasn't ready to play in their first game...throw that one out...and, against the only teams with a pulse, the Aggies gave up 28 points on D both times. Bulldogs.

Nebraska +7 ½ @ Michigan State: this is a game that MSU just HAS to have. Don't like that half point at all, but I'll take the loss to Oregon over the win against UM in impressiveness. Sparty

Arizona State +11 ½ @ USC: If this were at ASU, I'd take the debbils, but at the Coliseum? No way. USC had finally gotten healthy, which, for a team with only 58 players, is a big deal. IMO this is a "find the groove" game for USC, just as it was for the Bruins last week. Unfortunately, ASU is the opponent both times. Trojans.

Pitt +6 ½ @ Virginia: I like Virginia's D a lot more than Pitt's O. Not top of the line D, but very respectable. Cavs.

Baylor -16 ½ @ Texas: Baylor rolls...this won't be close. Baylor.

Ohio State -7 ½ @ Maryland: Buckeyes and I have no idea why I'm doing this....Maryland ain't a bad team...But I think OSU's O is better than Maryland's D to be only 7.5 points.

Utah +13 @ UCLA: UCLA Don't believe in Utah, especially on the road.


[/quote]

[Walter]

Max's Picks

Arizona +23 @ Oregon - Oregon
Utah State +21 @ BYU - BYU
Miami -1.5 @ Georgia Tech - Miami
Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame - Stanford
LSU +7.5 @ Auburn - Auburn
Oklahoma -5 @ TCU - Oklahoma
Florida +2.5 @ Tennessee - Florida
Alabama -6 @ Mississippi - Alabama
Texas A&M +1.5 @ Mississippi State - MSU
Nebraska +7.5 @ Michigan State - Michigan State
Arizona State +11.5 @ USC - USC
Pitt +6.5 @ Virginia - Virginia
Baylor -16.5 @ Texas - Texas
Ohio State -7.5 @ Maryland - Ohio State
Utah +13 @ UCLA - Utah
[/quote]

[kaz]

Arizona

Utah State

Miami

Stanford

Auburn

Oklahoma

Tennessee

Alabama

Texas A&M

Nebraska

USC

Virginia

Baylor

Ohio

Utah

[cyberobb99]

Arizona +23 @ Oregon - Oregon (-)

Utah State +21 @ BYU - BYU (-)

Miami -1 ½ @ Georgia Tech - UMmmmmmm

Stanford -2 @ Notre Dame - NOTRE DAME (+)

LSU +7 ½ @ Auburn - AUBURN (+)

Oklahoma -5 @ TCU - OKLAHOMA (-)

Florida +2 ½ @ Tennessee - Flarda (+)

Alabama -6 @ Mississippi - Bama (-)

Texas A&M +1 ½ @ Mississippi State - TAM (-)

Nebraska +7 ½ @ Michigan State - MSU (-)

Arizona State +11 ½ @ USC - USC (-)

Pitt +6 ½ @ Virginia - Virginia (-)

Baylor -16 ½ @ Texas - TEXAS (-)

Ohio State -7 ½ @ Maryland - OHIO STATE (+)

Utah +13 @ UCLA - UTES (+)

[Deleted]

AZ for the win! You Oregon takers got scammed.

[Deleted]

The board was 14-6 for Arizona +23. However, I don't think anyone thought AZ would win outright. I stayed up late to watch the game and it didn't disappoint. It was an entertaining game.