3.16.2018
Pregame Notes for Texas Tech reveal two statistical similar teams. The rosters are similar too playing out to 10 deep:
floridagators.com/documents/2018/3/16/2018_03_17_vsTexasTech_NCAATournament_2ndRound.pdfFLORIDA’S PROBABLE STARTERS & DEPTH TO 10 DEEP
# Name Pos. Ht. Wt. Cl. Min. Pts. R/A
13 Kevarrius Hayes C 6-9 225 Jr. 23.3 4.8 5.0r
3 Jalen Hudson G 6-6 192 Jr. 26.4 15.3 3.9r
4 Egor Koulechov G 6-5 205 Gr. 30.5 13.8 6.5r
5 KeVaughn Allen G 6-2 193 Jr. 31.2 11.1 2.3r
11 Chris Chiozza G 6-0 175 Sr. 32.2 11.1 6.2a
25 Keith Stone F 6-8 245 SO. 24.0 8.9 4.2r
21 Dontay Bassett F 6-9 240 FR. 7.3 1.8 1.6r
12 Gorjak Gak C 6-11 245 SO. 9.1 2.3 1.6r
00 Mike Okauru G 6-3 180 FR. 11.0 3.9 0.6a
24 Deaundre Ballard G 6-5 195 FR. 10.8 3.8 1.8r
Texas Tech's PROBABLE STARTERS & DEPTH TO 10 DEEP
# Name Pos. Ht. Wt. Cl. Min. Pts. R/A
32 Norense Odiase C 6-9 245 RJr. 15.4 4.0 4.7r
2 Zhaire Smith G 6-5 195 Fr. 28.2 11.1 4.8r
5 Justin Gray G 6-6 210 Sr. 21.1 5.0 3.5r
12 Keenan Evans G 6-3 190 Sr. 29.2 17.7 3.2a
23 Jarrett Culver G 6-5 190 Fr. 26.2 11.5 4.8r
00 Tommy Hamilton IV F 6-11 250 SR. 14.9 5.7 3.1r
11 Zach Smith F 6-8 220 SR. 20.4 6.1 3.1r
1 *Brandone Francis G 6-5 205 JR. 15.6 5.3 2.0r
10 Niem Stevenson G 6-5 205 SR. 20.3 7.5 3.1r
25 Davide Moretti G 6-3 165 FR. 12.4 3.4 1.2a
*Florida transfer to Texas Tech
Category Florida Advantage Texas Tech
Scoring Offense 76.1 < 75.1
Scoring Defense 69.2 > 64.6
Scoring Margin +6.9 > +10.5
Field Goal Pct. .434 . > .464
Field Goal Pct. Def. .427 > .402
3-Pt. FG Pct. .373 < .363
3-Pt. FG Pct. Def. .351 > .329
3-Pt. FG Made 9.2 < 6.9
3-Pt. FG Allowed 6.8 = 6.8
Free Throw Pct. .719 < .700
Free Throws Made 14.3 > 15.9
Rebounds 35.1 > 36.1 Opp.
Rebounds 37.4 > 31.7
Rebounding Margin -2.2 > +4.4
Assists 13.2 > 14.4
Turnovers 9.8 < 12.6
Opp. Turnovers 14.0 > 15.1
Turnover Margin +4.2 < +2.6
Assist/TO Ratio 1.3 < 1.1
Steals 7.0 > 7.3
Blocked Shots 4.7 < 4.3
I'm thinking the first team to 80 wins. I've got Florida winning in my bracket as I suspect Texas Tech is too confident, physical, and aggressive to play the type of zone defense that it will take for them to beat the Gators, say 80-79 Gators in a fast and furious up and down the floor game.